{"id":340123,"date":"2025-12-04T15:18:04","date_gmt":"2025-12-04T14:18:04","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.ncr-iran.org\/en\/?p=340123"},"modified":"2025-12-04T15:18:04","modified_gmt":"2025-12-04T14:18:04","slug":"irans-power-struggle-widens-as-crises-overwhelm-the-system","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.ncr-iran.org\/en\/news\/irans-power-struggle-widens-as-crises-overwhelm-the-system\/","title":{"rendered":"Iran\u2019s Power Struggle Widens as Crises Overwhelm the System"},"content":{"rendered":"<p style=\"text-align: justify;\"><img decoding=\"async\" class=\"alignnone wp-image-319422 size-full\" src=\"https:\/\/www.ncr-iran.org\/en\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/05\/iran-guardian-council-khamenei-rouhani-1.jpg\" alt=\"\" width=\"1000\" height=\"562\" srcset=\"https:\/\/www.ncr-iran.org\/en\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/05\/iran-guardian-council-khamenei-rouhani-1.jpg 1000w, https:\/\/www.ncr-iran.org\/en\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/05\/iran-guardian-council-khamenei-rouhani-1-300x169.jpg 300w, https:\/\/www.ncr-iran.org\/en\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/05\/iran-guardian-council-khamenei-rouhani-1-768x432.jpg 768w, https:\/\/www.ncr-iran.org\/en\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/05\/iran-guardian-council-khamenei-rouhani-1-747x420.jpg 747w, https:\/\/www.ncr-iran.org\/en\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/05\/iran-guardian-council-khamenei-rouhani-1-150x84.jpg 150w, https:\/\/www.ncr-iran.org\/en\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/05\/iran-guardian-council-khamenei-rouhani-1-696x391.jpg 696w\" sizes=\"(max-width: 1000px) 100vw, 1000px\" \/><\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: justify;\"><strong><em>Three-minute read<\/em><\/strong><\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: justify;\">Iran\u2019s political establishment spent the past week in open confrontation. Parliament turned into a battleground over inflation and collapsing living standards. Hard-line media escalated an organized assault on former president Hassan Rouhani. Cabinet ministers faced coordinated impeachment threats. And the sitting president Masoud Pezeshkian\u2014under pressure from all sides\u2014warned, via state outlets, that Tehran may soon require water rationing and even partial evacuation if the drought continues.<\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: justify;\">Each faction is using the country\u2019s deteriorating conditions to shield itself from blame and to corner rivals before public anger spills into the streets. Official data and even regime-adjacent analytics tend to understate the gravity of the crisis; the political reaction to that crisis is now the clearest measure of regime fragility.<\/p>\n<h2 style=\"text-align: justify;\" data-start=\"956\" data-end=\"994\">Parliament Turns Its Fire Inward<\/h2>\n<p style=\"text-align: justify;\" data-start=\"996\" data-end=\"1365\">The December 3 session of the Majles opened with MP <a href=\"https:\/\/borna.news\/fa\/news\/2287166\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">Ahmad Naderi citing<\/a> Central Bank figures showing enormous overdrafts and bad debts in several private banks, claiming their large facilities exceed \u201cthree times the annual cash subsidy\u201d of the population. His proposed fixes\u2014forced mergers, tighter controls\u2014carefully avoided the political networks behind the banks\u2019 rise.<\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: justify;\" data-start=\"1367\" data-end=\"1837\">Others were blunter. <a href=\"https:\/\/www.ilna.ir\/%D8%A8%D8%AE%D8%B4-%D8%B3%DB%8C%D8%A7%D8%B3%DB%8C-3\/1722413-%D8%B9%D8%A7%D9%85%D9%84-%D8%A7%D8%B5%D9%84%DB%8C-%D9%81%D8%B1%D9%88%D9%BE%D8%A7%D8%B4%DB%8C-%D8%B2%D9%86%D8%AF%DA%AF%DB%8C-%D9%85%D9%87%D8%B1%DB%8C%D9%87-%D9%86%DB%8C%D8%B3%D8%AA-%D8%AA%D9%88%D8%B1%D9%85-%D8%A8%D8%A7%D9%84%D8%A7%DB%8C-%D8%AF%D8%B1%D8%B5%D8%AF-%D8%A7%D8%B3%D8%AA\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">Jamshid Qaem-Maqam admitted<\/a>, \u201cwe know what we\u2019ve done to people\u2019s tables,\u201d listing inflation, unemployment and \u201castronomical\u201d rents. MP Sepahvand attacked the recycling of \u201cretired white-collar elites\u201d through quasi-state holding companies. Nakhai-Rad said wages are \u201ceaten by inflation before they reach people\u2019s accounts,\u201d pointing to collapsing small producers and currency volatility so sharp \u201cpeople don\u2019t know what price they will wake up to tomorrow.\u201d<\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: justify;\" data-start=\"1839\" data-end=\"2092\">The outrage is selective. Inflation is approaching 50% year-on-year, food prices rising even faster, yet MPs frame the disaster as the fault of the current cabinet or a handful of \u201cbad managers.\u201d<\/p>\n<blockquote class=\"twitter-tweet\" data-width=\"550\" data-dnt=\"true\">\n<p lang=\"en\" dir=\"ltr\"><a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/hashtag\/Iran?src=hash&amp;ref_src=twsrc%5Etfw\">#Iran<\/a>\u2019s Ruling System Is Fracturing Under the Weight of Its Own Crises<a href=\"https:\/\/t.co\/m58yalvjdr\">https:\/\/t.co\/m58yalvjdr<\/a><\/p>\n<p>&mdash; NCRI-FAC (@iran_policy) <a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/iran_policy\/status\/1996145285882618248?ref_src=twsrc%5Etfw\">December 3, 2025<\/a><\/p><\/blockquote>\n<p><script async src=\"https:\/\/platform.twitter.com\/widgets.js\" charset=\"utf-8\"><\/script><\/p>\n<h2 style=\"text-align: justify;\" data-start=\"2100\" data-end=\"2129\">Impeachment as a Weapon<\/h2>\n<p style=\"text-align: justify;\" data-start=\"2131\" data-end=\"2428\">Deputy speaker <a href=\"https:\/\/www.khabaronline.ir\/news\/2150300\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">Ali Nikzad confirmed<\/a> that signatures to impeach five ministers have reached the legal threshold and warned that any case brought to the floor \u201cwill pass.\u201d If more than half the cabinet falls, the government loses its mandate. Some MPs openly float this as a goal for 1405.<\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: justify;\" data-start=\"2430\" data-end=\"2863\">Speaker Mohammad-Baqer Qalibaf has sent mixed signals\u2014calling for a \u201ccoordinated reshuffle\u201d while keeping impeachment on the table. The ministries targeted\u2014housing, agriculture, energy, labor, health\u2014correspond directly to daily grievances. But historically, impeachment in Iran reshuffles personnel, not policy.<\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: justify;\" data-start=\"2430\" data-end=\"2863\">It is leverage, not accountability: a tool to hem in Pezeshkian while leaving the real centers of corruption and plunder\u2014<a href=\"https:\/\/www.ncr-iran.org\/en\/news\/exclusive-report\/khameneis-circle-and-the-complex-incoherent-world-of-irans-power-strain\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">Khamenei\u2019s office<\/a> and the IRGC\u2019s economic networks\u2014untouched, and using cabinet reshuffles as scapegoating theater to deceive the public rather than to repair any sector.<\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: justify;\" data-start=\"2430\" data-end=\"2863\">\n<blockquote class=\"twitter-tweet\" data-width=\"550\" data-dnt=\"true\">\n<p lang=\"en\" dir=\"ltr\"><a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/hashtag\/Iranian?src=hash&amp;ref_src=twsrc%5Etfw\">#Iranian<\/a> Regime\u2019s Crisis Deepens as Infighting Overshadows Governance Failures<a href=\"https:\/\/t.co\/n4KehhfYgk\">https:\/\/t.co\/n4KehhfYgk<\/a><\/p>\n<p>&mdash; NCRI-FAC (@iran_policy) <a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/iran_policy\/status\/1995534712144888184?ref_src=twsrc%5Etfw\">December 1, 2025<\/a><\/p><\/blockquote>\n<p><script async src=\"https:\/\/platform.twitter.com\/widgets.js\" charset=\"utf-8\"><\/script><\/p>\n<h2 style=\"text-align: justify;\" data-start=\"2871\" data-end=\"2902\">Pezeshkian Under Pressure<\/h2>\n<p style=\"text-align: justify;\" data-start=\"2904\" data-end=\"3438\">Facing factional crossfire, Pezeshkian has begun acknowledging core defects\u2014\u201cinflation is printed into existence by governments and banks,\u201d he said this month, describing it as wealth taken \u201cinvisibly\u201d from citizens. Yet his administration is simultaneously implementing the most sensitive price adjustment since November 2019: a <a href=\"https:\/\/apnews.com\/article\/iran-gasoline-price-fuel-subsidies-f86235ce71107d7e2adf0e1ce98547d4\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">three-tier gasoline system<\/a> combining 1,500-toman subsidized fuel, 3,000-toman semi-subsidized fuel, and a new 5,000-toman over-quota tier that MPs warn could deepen distrust among low-income households.<\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: justify;\" data-start=\"3440\" data-end=\"3847\">Meanwhile the water crisis has reached a point where the president\u2014in remarks carried by state media\u2014warned that rationing in the capital is imminent and that, if drought persists, relocation of parts of Tehran may be unavoidable. Scientists cited by national outlets report that more than 20 provinces have seen negligible rainfall since late September and key dams feeding Tehran are near historic lows.<\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: justify;\" data-start=\"3440\" data-end=\"3847\">Yet none of the officials voicing alarm are willing to touch the real causes: decades of destructive policy that diverted rivers, pumped aquifers dry, and covered the country with unscientific dams that shattered <a href=\"https:\/\/www.ncr-iran.org\/en\/news\/society\/irans-water-catastrophe-exposes-a-regime-draining-its-future\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">Iran\u2019s natural water balance<\/a>.<\/p>\n<blockquote class=\"twitter-tweet\" data-width=\"550\" data-dnt=\"true\">\n<p lang=\"en\" dir=\"ltr\"><a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/hashtag\/Iran?src=hash&amp;ref_src=twsrc%5Etfw\">#Iran<\/a> Elites Warn of Unrest as Fuel Hikes and FX Reset Ignite Infighting <a href=\"https:\/\/t.co\/UNktmnSmzy\">https:\/\/t.co\/UNktmnSmzy<\/a><\/p>\n<p>&mdash; NCRI-FAC (@iran_policy) <a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/iran_policy\/status\/1987867045573341581?ref_src=twsrc%5Etfw\">November 10, 2025<\/a><\/p><\/blockquote>\n<p><script async src=\"https:\/\/platform.twitter.com\/widgets.js\" charset=\"utf-8\"><\/script><\/p>\n<h2 style=\"text-align: justify;\" data-start=\"3855\" data-end=\"3900\">Rouhani\u2019s Return Sparks a Counterattack<\/h2>\n<p style=\"text-align: justify;\" data-start=\"3902\" data-end=\"4315\">The feud widened when Rouhani re-emerged with pointed criticism of military boasting\u2014calling it a path to \u201cmiscalculation\u201d\u2014and with claims that power centers blocked early vaccine imports. Extremist media and politicians responded with ferocity: Babak Zanjani, once paraded as a \u201ccorrupt tycoon\u201d and newly pardoned, attacked Rouhani as unfit; <a href=\"https:\/\/kayhan.ir\/fa\/news\/323523\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\"><em data-start=\"4245\" data-end=\"4253\">Kayhan<\/em> cast critical<\/a> analysts as tools in a \u201cproxy narrative war.\u201d<\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: justify;\" data-start=\"4317\" data-end=\"4618\">Other commentators countered that the attacks expose the system\u2019s contradictions: if Rouhani\u2019s alleged offenses are so grave, how did he spend decades in top security roles? Here too, the dispute is less about truth than about delimiting who may speak\u2014and how loudly\u2014inside a closed system.<\/p>\n<blockquote class=\"twitter-tweet\" data-width=\"550\" data-dnt=\"true\">\n<p lang=\"en\" dir=\"ltr\">Hassan Rouhani&#39;s disqualification marks a significant shift in <a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/hashtag\/Iranian?src=hash&amp;ref_src=twsrc%5Etfw\">#Iranian<\/a> politics. With his extensive tenure spanning parliament, the Assembly of Experts, the Supreme National <a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/hashtag\/Security?src=hash&amp;ref_src=twsrc%5Etfw\">#Security<\/a> Council, and the presidency, his exclusion carries weight beyond past election spectacles,\u2026 <a href=\"https:\/\/t.co\/subbX4sajO\">pic.twitter.com\/subbX4sajO<\/a><\/p>\n<p>&mdash; NCRI-FAC (@iran_policy) <a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/iran_policy\/status\/1752678665744253251?ref_src=twsrc%5Etfw\">January 31, 2024<\/a><\/p><\/blockquote>\n<p><script async src=\"https:\/\/platform.twitter.com\/widgets.js\" charset=\"utf-8\"><\/script><\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: justify;\" data-start=\"5186\" data-end=\"5468\">\n<h2 style=\"text-align: justify;\" data-start=\"5476\" data-end=\"5504\">What This Week Reveals<\/h2>\n<p style=\"text-align: justify;\" data-start=\"5506\" data-end=\"5766\">The eruption of intra-regime conflict is not pluralism\u2014it is a warning sign. When insiders attack each other in the language of opposition while avoiding the core of power, it reflects a system losing its ability to manage scarcity without political fallout.<\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: justify;\" data-start=\"5768\" data-end=\"6003\">The Majles shouts about poverty to weaken the cabinet. Extremist factions associated with <a href=\"https:\/\/donya-e-eqtesad.com\/%D8%A8%D8%AE%D8%B4-%D8%B3%D8%A7%DB%8C%D8%AA-%D8%AE%D9%88%D8%A7%D9%86-62\/4233442-%D8%AD%D9%85%D9%84%D9%87-%D9%85%D8%B4%D8%A7%D9%88%D8%B1-%D9%82%D8%A7%D9%84%DB%8C%D8%A8%D8%A7%D9%81-%D8%A8%D9%87-%D8%AD%D8%B3%D9%86-%D8%B1%D9%88%D8%AD%D8%A7%D9%86%DB%8C-%D8%A7%D9%81%D8%B2%D8%A7%DB%8C%D8%B4-%D9%81%D8%B9%D8%A7%D9%84%DB%8C%D8%AA-%D8%B1%D9%88%D8%AD%D8%A7%D9%86%DB%8C-%D8%AF%D8%B1-%D9%81%D8%B6%D8%A7%DB%8C-%D8%B1%D8%B3%D8%A7%D9%86%D9%87-%D8%A7%DB%8C-%D8%A8%DB%8C-%D8%AD%D8%B3%D8%A7%D8%A8-%D9%86%DB%8C%D8%B3%D8%AA-%D8%AF%D9%82%DB%8C%D9%82%D8%A7-%D8%AF%D8%B1-%D8%AD%D8%A7%D9%84-%D9%BE%DB%8C%DA%AF%DB%8C%D8%B1%DB%8C-%DA%A9%D8%AF%D8%A7%D9%85-%D9%BE%D8%B1%D9%88%DA%98%D9%87-%D8%A8%D8%B1%D8%A7%DB%8C-%DA%A9%D8%AF%D8%A7%D9%85-%D8%B7%D8%B1%D9%81-%D8%A7%D8%B3%D8%AA\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">Khamenei attack Rouhani<\/a> to quell internal rivalry. Pezeshkian warns of drought and war to dodge responsibility. Each faction is trying to survive the next shock.<\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: justify;\" data-start=\"6005\" data-end=\"6251\" data-is-last-node=\"\" data-is-only-node=\"\">And that is the real significance of the past week: a political order that once contained crises now depends on them to police its own factions\u2014while hoping the public does not conclude what the officials themselves already signal in their panic.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Three-minute read Iran&rsquo;s political establishment spent the past week in open confrontation. Parliament turned into a battleground over inflation and collapsing living standards. Hard-line media escalated an organized assault on [&#8230;]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":8,"featured_media":319422,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[45,5450],"tags":[5482],"class_list":{"0":"post-340123","1":"post","2":"type-post","3":"status-publish","4":"format-standard","5":"has-post-thumbnail","7":"category-news","8":"category-iranian-regime-infighting","9":"tag-iranian-regime-infighting"},"yoast_head":"<!-- This site is optimized with the Yoast SEO plugin v27.3 - https:\/\/yoast.com\/product\/yoast-seo-wordpress\/ -->\n<title>Iran\u2019s Power Struggle Widens as Crises Overwhelm the System - NCRI<\/title>\n<meta name=\"description\" content=\"Three-minute read Iran\u2019s political establishment spent the past week in open confrontation. 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