{"id":340253,"date":"2025-12-08T10:09:29","date_gmt":"2025-12-08T09:09:29","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.ncr-iran.org\/en\/?p=340253"},"modified":"2025-12-08T10:09:29","modified_gmt":"2025-12-08T09:09:29","slug":"irans-currency-breaks-records-as-water-crisis-toxic-air-and-parliamentary-infighting-signal-a-system-under-strain","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.ncr-iran.org\/en\/news\/economy\/irans-currency-breaks-records-as-water-crisis-toxic-air-and-parliamentary-infighting-signal-a-system-under-strain\/","title":{"rendered":"Iran\u2019s Currency Breaks Records as Water Crisis, Toxic Air and Parliamentary Infighting Signal a System Under Strain"},"content":{"rendered":"<figure id=\"attachment_52005\" aria-describedby=\"caption-attachment-52005\" style=\"width: 1000px\" class=\"wp-caption alignnone\"><img decoding=\"async\" class=\"wp-image-52005 size-full\" src=\"https:\/\/www.ncr-iran.org\/en\/wp-content\/uploads\/2018\/09\/Irans-Currency-Crisis-Worsens-as-Threat-of-Greater-International-Pressure-Looms-e1765183543234.jpg\" alt=\"Iran\u2019s Currency Crisis Worsens as Threat of Greater International Pressure Looms\" width=\"1000\" height=\"562\" srcset=\"https:\/\/www.ncr-iran.org\/en\/wp-content\/uploads\/2018\/09\/Irans-Currency-Crisis-Worsens-as-Threat-of-Greater-International-Pressure-Looms-e1765183543234.jpg 1000w, https:\/\/www.ncr-iran.org\/en\/wp-content\/uploads\/2018\/09\/Irans-Currency-Crisis-Worsens-as-Threat-of-Greater-International-Pressure-Looms-e1765183543234-300x169.jpg 300w, https:\/\/www.ncr-iran.org\/en\/wp-content\/uploads\/2018\/09\/Irans-Currency-Crisis-Worsens-as-Threat-of-Greater-International-Pressure-Looms-e1765183543234-768x432.jpg 768w, https:\/\/www.ncr-iran.org\/en\/wp-content\/uploads\/2018\/09\/Irans-Currency-Crisis-Worsens-as-Threat-of-Greater-International-Pressure-Looms-e1765183543234-696x391.jpg 696w, https:\/\/www.ncr-iran.org\/en\/wp-content\/uploads\/2018\/09\/Irans-Currency-Crisis-Worsens-as-Threat-of-Greater-International-Pressure-Looms-e1765183543234-747x420.jpg 747w, https:\/\/www.ncr-iran.org\/en\/wp-content\/uploads\/2018\/09\/Irans-Currency-Crisis-Worsens-as-Threat-of-Greater-International-Pressure-Looms-e1765183543234-150x84.jpg 150w\" sizes=\"(max-width: 1000px) 100vw, 1000px\" \/><figcaption id=\"caption-attachment-52005\" class=\"wp-caption-text\">People line up outside a currency exchange in central Tehran as the dollar surges<\/figcaption><\/figure>\n<p style=\"text-align: justify;\"><strong><em>Four-minute read<\/em><\/strong><\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: justify;\">Iran entered the week with another historic economic shock: on Sunday, December 7, 2025, the free-market<a href=\"https:\/\/www.exchange-rates.org\/converter\/irr-usd\/124000\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\"> dollar pierced 124,000 tomans<\/a>, the highest rate ever recorded. Gold prices continued their climb. Even the regime\u2019s own lawmakers, usually constrained in public remarks, warned that the budget for 2025 is unworkable and that inflationary pressure is accelerating beyond the state\u2019s ability to manage.<\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: justify;\">The currency spike is not occurring in a vacuum. It lands atop a deepening water crisis, a public-health emergency driven by toxic air and influenza, and increasingly visible fractures inside the state\u2019s political institutions. Together, these signals sketch a government running out of both resources and levers of control.<\/p>\n<h2 style=\"text-align: justify;\">Parliament Breaks Ranks Over A \u201cZombie Budget\u201d<\/h2>\n<p style=\"text-align: justify;\">A combative parliamentary session on December 6 revealed how far the internal rifts have widened. Multiple MPs accused the government of <a href=\"https:\/\/www.yjc.ir\/fa\/news\/9033268\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">delivering a budget so opaque<\/a> and structurally unsound that \u201cwe do not know what we are voting on.\u201d Others alleged that strategic decisions\u2014on fuel pricing, the use of high-sulfur fuel oil (mazut), and even security classifications\u2014were being made in extra-parliamentary \u201cleaders\u2019 councils\u201d without legislative oversight.<\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: justify;\">One MP warned that for the first time in Iran\u2019s modern budget history, the capital-expenditure balance had turned 60 trillion tomans negative in the first seven months of the fiscal year\u2014a shift that forces the government toward heavier debt issuance and central-bank financing, the very mechanisms that fuel inflation. The warning now carries added weight: <a href=\"https:\/\/www.jamaran.news\/%D8%A8%D8%AE%D8%B4-%D8%A7%D9%82%D8%AA%D8%B5%D8%A7%D8%AF-13\/1690783-%D8%A2%D9%85%D8%A7%D8%B1-%D9%BE%D9%86%D9%87%D8%A7%D9%86-%D8%A8%D8%A7%D9%86%DA%A9-%D9%85%D8%B1%DA%A9%D8%B2%DB%8C-%D9%81%D8%A7%D8%B4-%D8%B4%D8%AF-%D8%AA%D9%88%D8%B1%D9%85-%D8%A8%D8%A7%D9%84%D8%A7%DB%8C-%D8%AF%D8%B1%D8%B5%D8%AF-%D8%AF%D8%B1-%D8%B3%D8%A7%D9%84-%D8%AC%D8%AF%D9%88%D9%84\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">newly released Central Bank figures<\/a>\u2014data that the institution withheld for years\u2014show that inflation exceeded 50% in 10 out of 12 months of 2023, with only two months falling below that threshold. With such levels now confirmed, even state-aligned lawmakers conceded that the administration\u2019s proposal for 20% wage increases is essentially meaningless against a price environment that has been structurally hyper-inflationary for more than a year.<\/p>\n<blockquote class=\"twitter-tweet\" data-width=\"550\" data-dnt=\"true\">\n<p lang=\"en\" dir=\"ltr\"><a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/hashtag\/Iran?src=hash&amp;ref_src=twsrc%5Etfw\">#Iran<\/a>\u2019s Winter of Smog and Shortages Deepens the Regime\u2019s Crisis<a href=\"https:\/\/t.co\/fp8q5DEXbk\">https:\/\/t.co\/fp8q5DEXbk<\/a><\/p>\n<p>&mdash; NCRI-FAC (@iran_policy) <a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/iran_policy\/status\/1995079135925014667?ref_src=twsrc%5Etfw\">November 30, 2025<\/a><\/p><\/blockquote>\n<p><script async src=\"https:\/\/platform.twitter.com\/widgets.js\" charset=\"utf-8\"><\/script><\/p>\n<h2 style=\"text-align: justify;\">Water Near \u201cPoint of No Return\u201d<\/h2>\n<p style=\"text-align: justify;\">As economic pressures mount, Iran\u2019s environmental systems are also buckling. A senior deputy at the Ministry of <a href=\"https:\/\/www.irna.ir\/news\/86016387\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">Energy warned<\/a> on December 6 that the national water crisis is now \u201cat the threshold of a point of no return.\u201d Delaying consumption reform, he said, threatens \u201cthe life of the population and the foundations of the country\u2019s civilization.\u201d<\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: justify;\">In the same news cycle, Energy Minister <a href=\"https:\/\/www.asriran.com\/fa\/news\/1120925\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">Abbas-Ali Abadi claimed<\/a> the state is now exploring water imports, both \u201cvirtual\u201d (through agricultural trade) and \u201creal,\u201d via cross-border supply agreements\u2014an extraordinary admission for a country that once marketed itself as regionally water-secure. Negotiations with neighbors have begun, though most countries in Iran\u2019s climate zone are themselves water-stressed.<\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: justify;\">These warnings align with recent data showing critically low reservoir levels around Tehran and severe land subsidence in the capital and neighboring provinces. The regime&#8217;s president Masoud Pezeshkian himself admitted this month that the ground beneath major cities is \u201cterrifyingly hollow,\u201d a statement that would have been politically unthinkable a few years ago.<\/p>\n<blockquote class=\"twitter-tweet\" data-width=\"550\" data-dnt=\"true\">\n<p lang=\"en\" dir=\"ltr\"><a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/hashtag\/Iran?src=hash&amp;ref_src=twsrc%5Etfw\">#Iran<\/a>&#39;s Water Crisis, Currency Freefall and Toxic Air Expose a Regime at Breaking Point<a href=\"https:\/\/t.co\/7CNI8ZYVls\">https:\/\/t.co\/7CNI8ZYVls<\/a><\/p>\n<p>&mdash; NCRI-FAC (@iran_policy) <a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/iran_policy\/status\/1997313715062850047?ref_src=twsrc%5Etfw\">December 6, 2025<\/a><\/p><\/blockquote>\n<p><script async src=\"https:\/\/platform.twitter.com\/widgets.js\" charset=\"utf-8\"><\/script><\/p>\n<h2 style=\"text-align: justify;\">Toxic Air, Closed Schools and a Flu Wave<\/h2>\n<p style=\"text-align: justify;\">The environmental emergency extends beyond water. On December 7, the international monitoring site <a href=\"https:\/\/www.iqair.com\/iran\/tehran\/tehran\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">IQAir recorded<\/a> Tehran\u2019s Air Quality Index at 165, deep in the red zone (\u201cunhealthy\u201d). Schools were closed in 15 provinces, including Tehran, Alborz, Isfahan, Khuzestan, Kurdistan, and Kermanshah.<\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: justify;\">The public-health system is absorbing the fallout. Yazd province reported seven influenza deaths amid a wave officials say has surpassed its \u201cwarning threshold.\u201d Local authorities recorded over 1,100 confirmed flu cases this season. In Kurdistan, more than 12,000 people sought treatment for flu-like illness in a single week.<\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: justify;\">This comes after weeks of reports that major Iranian power plants have burned fuel with sulfur content hundreds of times above legal limits\u2014an emergency workaround to <a href=\"https:\/\/www.ncr-iran.org\/en\/news\/economy\/why-iran-is-running-out-of-water-power-and-patience\/\">electricity shortages<\/a> that pushes pollution deeper into urban centers.<\/p>\n<blockquote class=\"twitter-tweet\" data-width=\"550\" data-dnt=\"true\">\n<p lang=\"en\" dir=\"ltr\"><a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/hashtag\/Iran?src=hash&amp;ref_src=twsrc%5Etfw\">#Iran<\/a>\u2019s Ruling System Is Fracturing Under the Weight of Its Own Crises<a href=\"https:\/\/t.co\/m58yalvjdr\">https:\/\/t.co\/m58yalvjdr<\/a><\/p>\n<p>&mdash; NCRI-FAC (@iran_policy) <a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/iran_policy\/status\/1996145285882618248?ref_src=twsrc%5Etfw\">December 3, 2025<\/a><\/p><\/blockquote>\n<p><script async src=\"https:\/\/platform.twitter.com\/widgets.js\" charset=\"utf-8\"><\/script><\/p>\n<h2 style=\"text-align: justify;\">Pezeshkian\u2019s Public Defensiveness Signals a Presidency Under Pressure<\/h2>\n<p style=\"text-align: justify;\">Facing simultaneous crises, Pezeshkian has grown unusually defensive in public. At a December 7 student event <a href=\"https:\/\/borna.news\/fa\/news\/2288412\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">in Tehran, he said<\/a> that the budget his administration drafted has only 2% growth, despite inflation \u201cof 30\u201340\u201350%,\u201d and acknowledged that Iran has 7 million billion tomans (7 quadrillion tomans) in unfinished state projects\u2014an unmanageable backlog that predates his government but now constrains every major policy decision.<\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: justify;\">He also admitted that fuel subsidies are fiscally ruinous, stating: \u201cWhen I spend $4 billion on gasoline, I create inflation because I have to print money.\u201d The remark came days after Iran introduced a three-tier gasoline pricing system\u2014one of the most politically sensitive economic steps since the <a href=\"https:\/\/www.reuters.com\/article\/world\/special-report-irans-leader-ordered-crackdown-on-unrest-do-whatever-it-take-idUSKBN1YR0QO\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">deadly 2019 fuel protests<\/a>.<\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: justify;\">Perhaps most telling, he described Iran\u2019s land subsidence and water scarcity as crises that \u201cwill worsen if the rains do not come,\u201d and warned that the capital\u2019s water supply could reach a \u201csevere\u201d threshold. Such statements, while framed as calls for patience, reinforce the perception that the state is no longer in control of essential services.<\/p>\n<blockquote class=\"twitter-tweet\" data-width=\"550\" data-dnt=\"true\">\n<p lang=\"en\" dir=\"ltr\">Dry Skies, Dirty Air, And A Sliding Rial: <a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/hashtag\/Iran?src=hash&amp;ref_src=twsrc%5Etfw\">#Iran<\/a>\u2019s Crises Collide in Early Winter<a href=\"https:\/\/t.co\/Du8KzRDcDn\">https:\/\/t.co\/Du8KzRDcDn<\/a><\/p>\n<p>&mdash; NCRI-FAC (@iran_policy) <a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/iran_policy\/status\/1995512514713678321?ref_src=twsrc%5Etfw\">December 1, 2025<\/a><\/p><\/blockquote>\n<p><script async src=\"https:\/\/platform.twitter.com\/widgets.js\" charset=\"utf-8\"><\/script><\/p>\n<h2 style=\"text-align: justify;\">A System Confronting Scarcity on Every Front<\/h2>\n<p style=\"text-align: justify;\">In Zanjan on December 6, judiciary chief Gholam-Hossein <a href=\"https:\/\/www.tasnimnews.com\/fa\/news\/1404\/09\/16\/3465647\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">Eje\u2019i admitted<\/a> that enforcing Iran\u2019s compulsory-hijab rules has become untenable. \u201cThis situation is not tolerable,\u201d he said, adding that coercion by the judiciary alone \u201cwill not suffice\u201d without alignment across institutions. For a system that has elevated hijab enforcement to a pillar of ideological legitimacy, this was an extraordinary acknowledgment of capacity limits\u2014and of widespread social resistance.<\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: justify;\">Taken together\u2014the currency spike, the parliamentary revolt, the water-import plans, the toxic-air shutdowns, and the judiciary\u2019s rare confession\u2014the picture is stark. Iran\u2019s crises are no longer sectoral; they are systemic. Scarcity, inflation, and public-health stress are converging faster than the state can hide, while political elites trade accusations in full view.<\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: justify;\">The regime is not merely struggling to govern. It is struggling to maintain the appearance that governing is still possible.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Four-minute read Iran entered the week with another historic economic shock: on Sunday, December 7, 2025, the free-market dollar pierced 124,000 tomans, the highest rate ever recorded. Gold prices continued [&#8230;]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":8,"featured_media":52005,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[11,10,5450],"tags":[269,5482],"class_list":{"0":"post-340253","1":"post","2":"type-post","3":"status-publish","4":"format-standard","5":"has-post-thumbnail","7":"category-society","8":"category-economy","9":"category-iranian-regime-infighting","10":"tag-iran-economy","11":"tag-iranian-regime-infighting"},"yoast_head":"<!-- This site is optimized with the Yoast SEO plugin v27.5 - https:\/\/yoast.com\/product\/yoast-seo-wordpress\/ -->\n<title>Iran\u2019s Currency Breaks Records as Water Crisis, Toxic Air and Parliamentary Infighting Signal a System Under Strain - NCRI<\/title>\n<meta name=\"description\" content=\"Four-minute read Iran entered the week with another historic economic shock: on Sunday, December 7, 2025, the free-market dollar pierced 124,000 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