{"id":340734,"date":"2025-12-22T18:19:35","date_gmt":"2025-12-22T17:19:35","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.ncr-iran.org\/en\/?p=340734"},"modified":"2025-12-22T18:25:03","modified_gmt":"2025-12-22T17:25:03","slug":"tehrans-real-panic-an-opposition-it-cannot-decapitate","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.ncr-iran.org\/en\/news\/iran-resistance\/tehrans-real-panic-an-opposition-it-cannot-decapitate\/","title":{"rendered":"Tehran\u2019s Real Panic: An Opposition It Cannot Decapitate"},"content":{"rendered":"<figure id=\"attachment_338425\" aria-describedby=\"caption-attachment-338425\" style=\"width: 1000px\" class=\"wp-caption alignnone\"><img decoding=\"async\" class=\"wp-image-338425 size-full\" src=\"https:\/\/www.ncr-iran.org\/en\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/10\/Resistance-Units-2jpg.jpg\" alt=\"A member of the Resistance Units in Tehran holds an NLA banner to mark the anniversary of Maryam Rajavi\u2019s election as the NCRI President-elect \u2014 October 21, 2025\" width=\"1000\" height=\"562\" srcset=\"https:\/\/www.ncr-iran.org\/en\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/10\/Resistance-Units-2jpg.jpg 1000w, https:\/\/www.ncr-iran.org\/en\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/10\/Resistance-Units-2jpg-300x169.jpg 300w, https:\/\/www.ncr-iran.org\/en\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/10\/Resistance-Units-2jpg-768x432.jpg 768w, https:\/\/www.ncr-iran.org\/en\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/10\/Resistance-Units-2jpg-747x420.jpg 747w, https:\/\/www.ncr-iran.org\/en\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/10\/Resistance-Units-2jpg-150x84.jpg 150w, https:\/\/www.ncr-iran.org\/en\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/10\/Resistance-Units-2jpg-696x391.jpg 696w\" sizes=\"(max-width: 1000px) 100vw, 1000px\" \/><figcaption id=\"caption-attachment-338425\" class=\"wp-caption-text\">A member of the Resistance Units in Tehran holds an NLA banner to mark the anniversary of Maryam Rajavi\u2019s election as the NCRI President-elect \u2014 October 21, 2025<\/figcaption><\/figure>\n<p style=\"text-align: justify;\"><b><i><span data-contrast=\"auto\">Three-minute read<\/span><\/i><\/b><span data-ccp-props=\"{}\">\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: justify;\"><span data-contrast=\"auto\">In recent days, the regime\u2019s own media and judiciary have provided a revealing window into what Tehran fears most: an organized resistance that can endure repression, maintain continuity, and demonstrate its capability as an alternative center of political gravity.<\/span><span data-ccp-props=\"{}\">\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: justify;\"><span data-contrast=\"auto\">A telling catalyst was a December 19 <a href=\"https:\/\/www.foxnews.com\/opinion\/mike-pompeo-islamic-republic-ropes-time-trump-iranians-finish-job\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">opinion column by former<\/a> U.S. Secretary of State Mike Pompeo, who argued that Iranians reject both clerical rule and a return to monarchy, and that the claim \u201cthere is no alternative\u201d ignores an organized opposition. <\/span><span data-contrast=\"auto\">Pompeo wrote, \u201cThey do not want a theocracy or a monarchy,\u201d framing the regime as \u201con the ropes\u201d and pushing the idea that change is\u00a0feasible.\u00a0<\/span><span data-ccp-props=\"{}\">\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: justify;\"><span data-contrast=\"auto\">The regime\u2019s sensitivity did not show up only in predictable denunciations. It showed up in a rare act of clarity from a state-linked Iranian outlet: <a href=\"https:\/\/www.asriran.com\/fa\/news\/1125243\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">Asr-e Iran openly argued<\/a> that Pompeo\u2019s reference to an \u201corganized and democratic opposition\u201d points specifically to the PMOI\u2014not to other opposition currents that might want to claim the label. <\/span><span data-contrast=\"auto\">In other words, a regime-adjacent platform effectively confirmed that Tehran understands the strategic implication of the phrase \u201corganized opposition\u201d: this is not about sporadic protests; it is about structure.<\/span><span data-ccp-props=\"{}\">\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: justify;\"><span data-contrast=\"auto\">That distinction matters because the\u00a0clerical dictatorship\u00a0has repeatedly\u00a0demonstrated\u00a0it can absorb anger when it is dispersed. Its vulnerability grows when anger becomes coordinated\u2014when networks, discipline, and messaging convert public grievance into sustained political pressure.<\/span><span data-ccp-props=\"{}\">\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n<blockquote class=\"twitter-tweet\" data-width=\"550\" data-dnt=\"true\">\n<p lang=\"en\" dir=\"ltr\">The Iranian dictatorship is in dire straits. <\/p>\n<p>The Iranian people deserve our support to build a better future. <a href=\"https:\/\/t.co\/aodxrbZ6qk\">https:\/\/t.co\/aodxrbZ6qk<\/a><\/p>\n<p>&mdash; Mike Pompeo (@mikepompeo) <a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/mikepompeo\/status\/2002040039870447967?ref_src=twsrc%5Etfw\">December 19, 2025<\/a><\/p><\/blockquote>\n<p><script async src=\"https:\/\/platform.twitter.com\/widgets.js\" charset=\"utf-8\"><\/script><\/p>\n<h2 style=\"text-align: justify;\" aria-level=\"2\"><span data-contrast=\"none\">The judiciary\u2019s playbook: criminalize visibility, export intimidation<\/span><span data-ccp-props=\"{&quot;134245418&quot;:true,&quot;134245529&quot;:true,&quot;335559738&quot;:160,&quot;335559739&quot;:80}\">\u00a0<\/span><\/h2>\n<p style=\"text-align: justify;\"><span data-contrast=\"auto\">Meanwhile, in coverage of the 49th session of a sham court case involving allegations against 104 individuals linked to the PMOI, Iranian <a href=\"https:\/\/www.mizanonline.ir\/fa\/news\/4872238\/%DA%86%D9%87%D9%84%E2%80%8C%D9%88%D9%86%D9%87%D9%85%DB%8C%D9%86-%D8%AC%D9%84%D8%B3%D9%87-%D8%AF%D8%A7%D8%AF%DA%AF%D8%A7%D9%87-%D8%B1%D8%B3%DB%8C%D8%AF%DA%AF%DB%8C-%D8%A8%D9%87-%D8%A7%D8%AA%D9%87%D8%A7%D9%85%D8%A7%D8%AA-%D8%A7%D8%B9%D8%B6%D8%A7%DB%8C-%D8%B3%D8%A7%D8%B2%D9%85%D8%A7%D9%86-%D9%85%D8%AC%D8%A7%D9%87%D8%AF%DB%8C%D9%86-%D8%AE%D9%84%D9%82-%D9%85%D9%88%D8%B3%D9%88%D9%85-%D8%A8%D9%87-%D9%85%D9%86%D8%A7%D9%81%D9%82%DB%8C%D9%86-%D8%A2%D8%BA%D8%A7%D8%B2-%D8%B4%D8%AF\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">state media emphasized<\/a> the proceeding\u2019s \u201cpublic\u201d nature and its media coverage\u2014an approach that functions as a broadcast channel for delegitimization rather than a transparent search for truth.<\/span><\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: justify;\"><span data-contrast=\"auto\">What stands out is the effort to push this campaign beyond Iran\u2019s borders. The judiciary\u2019s own news outlet, Mizan, framed European parliamentary hosting of Mrs. Maryam Rajavi as evidence of \u201cdouble standards\u201d and highlighted the timing\u2014occurring while the Tehran court sessions are underway\u2014suggesting that international platforms should be treated as a legal and political provocation. <a href=\"https:\/\/www.iribnews.ir\/fa\/news\/5657481\/%D8%A7%D8%B2-%D8%A7%D8%B3%D8%AA%D8%A7%D9%86%D8%AF%D8%A7%D8%B1%D8%AF-%D8%AF%D9%88%DA%AF%D8%A7%D9%86%D9%87-%D8%A7%D8%AA%D8%AD%D8%A7%D8%AF%DB%8C%D9%87-%D8%A7%D8%B1%D9%88%D9%BE%D8%A7-%D8%AF%D8%B1%D8%A8%D8%A7%D8%B1%D9%87-%D9%85%DB%8C%D8%B2%D8%A8%D8%A7%D9%86%DB%8C-%D8%A7%D8%B2-%D8%B1%D8%AC%D9%88%DB%8C-%D8%AA%D8%A7-%D8%A7%D8%B0%D8%B9%D8%A7%D9%86-%D9%85%D9%86%D8%A7%D9%81%D9%82%DB%8C%D9%86-%D8%A8%D9%87-%DA%A9%D8%B4%D8%AA%D8%A7%D8%B1-%D9%85%D8%B1%D8%AF%D9%85-%D8%AF%D8%B1-%D8%B9%D9%85%D9%84%DB%8C%D8%A7%D8%AA%E2%80%8E%D9%87%D8%A7\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">State broadcaster reporting<\/a> from the court similarly stressed claims about \u201cdouble standards\u201d and the notion that invitations contradict European commitments\u2014language clearly intended to intimidate institutions abroad into self-censorship.\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n<blockquote class=\"twitter-tweet\" data-width=\"550\" data-dnt=\"true\">\n<p lang=\"en\" dir=\"ltr\"><a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/hashtag\/Iran?src=hash&amp;ref_src=twsrc%5Etfw\">#Iran<\/a>\u2019s Top Officials Warn of <a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/Mojahedineng?ref_src=twsrc%5Etfw\">@Mojahedineng<\/a> Influence and Looming Revolt<a href=\"https:\/\/t.co\/uJxSXN18t9\">https:\/\/t.co\/uJxSXN18t9<\/a><\/p>\n<p>&mdash; NCRI-FAC (@iran_policy) <a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/iran_policy\/status\/1913336622310891951?ref_src=twsrc%5Etfw\">April 18, 2025<\/a><\/p><\/blockquote>\n<p><script async src=\"https:\/\/platform.twitter.com\/widgets.js\" charset=\"utf-8\"><\/script><\/p>\n<h2 style=\"text-align: justify;\" aria-level=\"2\"><span data-contrast=\"none\">The security propagandist\u2019s slip: 1981 still haunts them<\/span><span data-ccp-props=\"{&quot;134245418&quot;:true,&quot;134245529&quot;:true,&quot;335559738&quot;:160,&quot;335559739&quot;:80}\">\u00a0<\/span><\/h2>\n<p style=\"text-align: justify;\"><span data-contrast=\"auto\">Alongside judicial spectacle, regime-aligned security messaging is reviving a foundational trauma narrative to justify permanent repression: the early 1980s. In an interview on state TV, documentary-maker Javad <a href=\"https:\/\/defapress.ir\/fa\/news\/801171\/%D9%85%D9%88%DA%AF%D9%88%DB%8C%DB%8C-%D8%A7%DB%8C%D8%B1%D8%A7%D9%86-%D9%BE%DB%8C%D8%B1%D9%88%D8%B2-%D8%AC%D9%86%DA%AF-%DB%B1%DB%B2-%D8%B1%D9%88%D8%B2%D9%87-%D8%A7%D8%B3%D8%AA-%D9%88-%D8%A8%D8%A7%DB%8C%D8%AF-%D8%A7%DB%8C%D9%86-%D9%BE%DB%8C%D8%B1%D9%88%D8%B2%DB%8C-%D8%AD%D9%85%D8%A7%D8%B3%DB%8C-%D8%B1%D9%88%D8%A7%DB%8C%D8%AA-%D8%B4%D9%88%D8%AF-%D8%AC%D8%A7%DB%8C-%D8%B1%D9%88%D8%A7%DB%8C%D8%AA-%D9%BE%DB%8C%D8%B1%D9%88%D8%B2%D9%85%D9%86%D8%AF%D8%A7%D9%86%D9%87-%D8%AE%D8%A7%D9%84%DB%8C-%D8%A7%D8%B3%D8%AA\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">Moghouyi described<\/a> the summer of 1981 as one of the most frightening periods for the system, claiming that around 100,000 armed people poured into Tehran and other cities\u2014urging the audience to imagine Azadi Stadium packed and spilling into the streets.\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: justify;\">The regime\u2019s security storytellers are not revisiting history for accuracy; they are weaponizing memory to reassure a demoralized base. The intended message is that the system has already survived what it portrays as its most existential threats\u2014and therefore should survive again, as an imminent uprising looms.<\/p>\n<blockquote class=\"twitter-tweet\" data-width=\"550\" data-dnt=\"true\">\n<p lang=\"en\" dir=\"ltr\">Former Interrogator at the regime&#39;s Ministry of Intelligence acknowledges the involvement of the democratic opposition PMOI\/MEK in the uprisings that have occurred in <a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/hashtag\/Iran?src=hash&amp;ref_src=twsrc%5Etfw\">#Iran<\/a> in recent years.<a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/hashtag\/FreeIran2024?src=hash&amp;ref_src=twsrc%5Etfw\">#FreeIran2024<\/a> <a href=\"https:\/\/t.co\/CZOWnThv3w\">https:\/\/t.co\/CZOWnThv3w<\/a><\/p>\n<p>&mdash; Dowlat Nowrouzi (@DowlatNowrouzi) <a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/DowlatNowrouzi\/status\/1745500887013880215?ref_src=twsrc%5Etfw\">January 11, 2024<\/a><\/p><\/blockquote>\n<p><script async src=\"https:\/\/platform.twitter.com\/widgets.js\" charset=\"utf-8\"><\/script><\/p>\n<h2 style=\"text-align: justify;\" aria-level=\"2\"><span data-contrast=\"none\">Why\u00a0this\u00a0obsession intensifies in moments of crisis<\/span><span data-ccp-props=\"{&quot;134245418&quot;:true,&quot;134245529&quot;:true,&quot;335559738&quot;:160,&quot;335559739&quot;:80}\">\u00a0<\/span><\/h2>\n<p style=\"text-align: justify;\"><span data-contrast=\"auto\">The timing of this\u00a0narrative\u00a0offensive\u00a0is not incidental. The\u00a0clerical regime\u00a0is navigating multiple pressure points\u2014economic stress, public health alarms, social fatigue, and the\u00a0credibility\u00a0erosion that comes when institutions admit systemic corruption while daily life becomes unaffordable. In such conditions, the regime\u2019s priority is not to solve grievances; it is to prevent grievances from gaining organizational form.<\/span><span data-ccp-props=\"{}\">\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: justify;\">UN <a href=\"https:\/\/www.ohchr.org\/en\/press-releases\/2025\/09\/un-experts-appalled-unprecedented-execution-spree-iran-over-1000-killed-nine\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">human-rights experts said<\/a> the regime in Iran had executed more than 1,000 people in 2025 by late September, calling it an \u201cunprecedented execution spree\u201d and reiterating that international law restricts the death penalty to the \u201cmost serious crimes.&#8221;<\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: justify;\">According to the NCRI, the execution wave is accelerating because the leadership fears another nationwide uprising: in a <a href=\"https:\/\/www.ncr-iran.org\/en\/ncri-statements\/statement-human-rights\/iran-november-2025-bloodiest-month-in-37-years-with-335-executions-including-7-women-and-2-barbaric-public-executions\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">December 3 statement<\/a> it described November 2025 as the \u201cbloodiest month in 37 years\u201d with 335 executions, adding that Khamenei is \u201cattempting to prevent an uprising through mass killings.\u201d<\/p>\n<blockquote class=\"twitter-tweet\" data-width=\"550\" data-dnt=\"true\">\n<p lang=\"en\" dir=\"ltr\"><a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/hashtag\/Iran?src=hash&amp;ref_src=twsrc%5Etfw\">#Iran<\/a> News: Former Intelligence Interrogator Warns of Nationwide <a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/hashtag\/Protests?src=hash&amp;ref_src=twsrc%5Etfw\">#Protests<\/a> Amid Crisis<a href=\"https:\/\/t.co\/BwiYtEOgUe\">https:\/\/t.co\/BwiYtEOgUe<\/a><\/p>\n<p>&mdash; NCRI-FAC (@iran_policy) <a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/iran_policy\/status\/1906275456418259325?ref_src=twsrc%5Etfw\">March 30, 2025<\/a><\/p><\/blockquote>\n<p><script async src=\"https:\/\/platform.twitter.com\/widgets.js\" charset=\"utf-8\"><\/script><\/p>\n<h2 style=\"text-align: justify;\" aria-level=\"2\"><span data-contrast=\"none\">What Tehran is admitting through its behavior<\/span><span data-ccp-props=\"{&quot;134245418&quot;:true,&quot;134245529&quot;:true,&quot;335559738&quot;:160,&quot;335559739&quot;:80}\">\u00a0<\/span><\/h2>\n<p style=\"text-align: justify;\"><span data-contrast=\"auto\">The regime\u2019s defenders will insist that naming opposition groups and staging trials is \u201cnational security.\u201d But the pattern points to something more political: an attempt to criminalize not just alleged acts, but networks, platforms, and legitimacy.<\/span><span data-ccp-props=\"{}\">\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n<div class=\"flex flex-col text-sm pb-25\">\n<article class=\"text-token-text-primary w-full focus:outline-none [--shadow-height:45px] has-data-writing-block:pointer-events-none has-data-writing-block:-mt-(--shadow-height) has-data-writing-block:pt-(--shadow-height) [&amp;:has([data-writing-block])&gt;*]:pointer-events-auto scroll-mt-[calc(var(--header-height)+min(200px,max(70px,20svh)))]\" dir=\"auto\" tabindex=\"-1\" data-turn-id=\"request-69481f03-3a28-8331-a791-5a8aa325e905-4\" data-testid=\"conversation-turn-38\" data-scroll-anchor=\"true\" data-turn=\"assistant\">\n<div class=\"text-base my-auto mx-auto pb-10 [--thread-content-margin:--spacing(4)] @w-sm\/main:[--thread-content-margin:--spacing(6)] @w-lg\/main:[--thread-content-margin:--spacing(16)] px-(--thread-content-margin)\">\n<div class=\"[--thread-content-max-width:40rem] @w-lg\/main:[--thread-content-max-width:48rem] mx-auto max-w-(--thread-content-max-width) flex-1 group\/turn-messages focus-visible:outline-hidden relative flex w-full min-w-0 flex-col agent-turn\" tabindex=\"-1\">\n<div class=\"flex max-w-full flex-col grow\">\n<div class=\"min-h-8 text-message relative flex w-full flex-col items-end gap-2 text-start break-words whitespace-normal [.text-message+&amp;]:mt-1\" dir=\"auto\" data-message-author-role=\"assistant\" data-message-id=\"e743e6ae-f812-4e2c-abf3-70cf39d11617\" data-message-model-slug=\"gpt-5-2-thinking\">\n<div class=\"flex w-full flex-col gap-1 empty:hidden first:pt-[1px]\">\n<div class=\"markdown prose dark:prose-invert w-full break-words light markdown-new-styling\">\n<p style=\"text-align: justify;\" data-start=\"633\" data-end=\"1035\">When a state-linked outlet spells out whom foreign policymakers mean by \u201corganized opposition,\u201d when the judiciary treats foreign parliamentary hosting as a legal grievance, and when security media invokes the regime\u2019s survival in the 1980s to rally a demoralized base, Tehran is acknowledging its central vulnerability: it can often contain spontaneous anger, but it struggles to contain coordination.<\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: justify;\" data-start=\"633\" data-end=\"1035\"><span style=\"text-align: justify;\" data-contrast=\"auto\">That is why Tehran\u2019s fixation is so persistent. The clerical system fears an opposition it cannot decapitate\u2014because it is not a single protest, a single leader, or a single moment. It is the prospect of structure.<\/span><span style=\"text-align: justify;\" data-ccp-props=\"{}\">\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/article>\n<\/div>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Three-minute read&nbsp; In recent days, the regime&rsquo;s own media and judiciary have provided a revealing window into what Tehran fears most: an organized resistance that can endure repression, maintain continuity, [&#8230;]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":16,"featured_media":338425,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[13,845],"tags":[218,222],"class_list":{"0":"post-340734","1":"post","2":"type-post","3":"status-publish","4":"format-standard","5":"has-post-thumbnail","7":"category-iran-resistance","8":"category-demonizing-mek","9":"tag-demonizing-mek","10":"tag-iranian-resistance"},"yoast_head":"<!-- This site is optimized with the Yoast SEO plugin v27.5 - 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