{"id":342167,"date":"2026-02-03T09:10:16","date_gmt":"2026-02-03T08:10:16","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.ncr-iran.org\/en\/?p=342167"},"modified":"2026-02-03T09:10:16","modified_gmt":"2026-02-03T08:10:16","slug":"khameneis-speech-was-not-about-war-it-was-about-fear-of-the-next-uprising","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.ncr-iran.org\/en\/news\/iran-protests\/khameneis-speech-was-not-about-war-it-was-about-fear-of-the-next-uprising\/","title":{"rendered":"Khamenei\u2019s Speech Was Not About War. It Was About Fear of the Next Uprising"},"content":{"rendered":"<figure id=\"attachment_332902\" aria-describedby=\"caption-attachment-332902\" style=\"width: 1000px\" class=\"wp-caption alignnone\"><img decoding=\"async\" class=\"wp-image-332902 size-full\" src=\"https:\/\/www.ncr-iran.org\/en\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/06\/iran-ali-khamenei-90062025.jpg\" alt=\"The Iranian regime's Supreme Leader Ali Khamenei addresses his forces on June 9, 2025\" width=\"1000\" height=\"583\" srcset=\"https:\/\/www.ncr-iran.org\/en\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/06\/iran-ali-khamenei-90062025.jpg 1000w, https:\/\/www.ncr-iran.org\/en\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/06\/iran-ali-khamenei-90062025-300x175.jpg 300w, https:\/\/www.ncr-iran.org\/en\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/06\/iran-ali-khamenei-90062025-768x448.jpg 768w, https:\/\/www.ncr-iran.org\/en\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/06\/iran-ali-khamenei-90062025-720x420.jpg 720w, https:\/\/www.ncr-iran.org\/en\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/06\/iran-ali-khamenei-90062025-150x87.jpg 150w, https:\/\/www.ncr-iran.org\/en\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/06\/iran-ali-khamenei-90062025-696x406.jpg 696w\" sizes=\"(max-width: 1000px) 100vw, 1000px\" \/><figcaption id=\"caption-attachment-332902\" class=\"wp-caption-text\">The Iranian regime&#8217;s Supreme Leader Ali Khamenei addresses his forces on June 9, 2025<\/figcaption><\/figure>\n<p style=\"text-align: justify;\"><b><i><span data-contrast=\"auto\">Three-minute read<\/span><\/i><\/b><span data-ccp-props=\"{}\">\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: justify;\"><span data-contrast=\"auto\">On February\u00a01, 2026, Ali Khamenei, the clerical regime\u2019s supreme leader, stood before a handpicked crowd in Tehran and tried to do what he always does when his system is under pressure: talk big abroad, rewrite reality at home\u2014and just as importantly,\u00a0<\/span><span data-contrast=\"auto\">pump morale into a demoralized base<\/span><span data-contrast=\"auto\">\u00a0that has watched the nation\u2019s wrath spill into the streets time and again and now sees the regime\u2019s foundations cracking more openly than ever. The most revealing part of <a href=\"https:\/\/www.asriran.com\/fa\/news\/1137315\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">his latest speech<\/a> was not the warning about \u201cregional war.\u201d It was his fixation on the protests\u2014his need to rebrand a popular uprising as a \u201ccoup d\u2019etat,\u201d and his unusually blunt admission that it was \u201csuppressed.\u201d<\/span><span data-ccp-props=\"{&quot;134233117&quot;:false,&quot;134233118&quot;:false,&quot;335559738&quot;:240,&quot;335559739&quot;:240}\">\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: justify;\"><span data-contrast=\"auto\">On the foreign front, he repeated the familiar script. \u201cAmerica should know that if\u00a0it starts a war, this time it will be a regional war,\u201d he said. He claimed, \u201cWe are not the initiator\u201d and \u201cwe do not want to attack any country,\u201d while threatening that \u201cthe Iranian nation, in the face of anyone who attacks and harasses, will deliver a hard punch.\u201d He mocked talk of \u201caircraft carriers\u201d and \u201cplanes,\u201d insisting it was \u201cnot new,\u201d and declaring, \u201cThe Iranian nation should not be scared by these things.\u201d<\/span><span data-ccp-props=\"{&quot;134233117&quot;:false,&quot;134233118&quot;:false,&quot;335559738&quot;:240,&quot;335559739&quot;:240}\">\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: justify;\"><span data-contrast=\"auto\">This is\u00a0theater. It is meant to project confidence. But his real message was for the inside.<\/span><span data-ccp-props=\"{}\">\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: justify;\"><span data-contrast=\"auto\">Khamenei called the recent protests \u201csedition,\u201d then let the truth slip: \u201cThe recent sedition was like a coup d\u2019etat\u2014of course, the coup was suppressed.\u201d Read that again. He did not say it \u201cended\u201d or \u201ccalmed down.\u201d He said it was \u201csuppressed.\u201d That is not a defensive posture; it is an admission of crackdown.<\/span><span data-ccp-props=\"{}\">\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n<blockquote class=\"twitter-tweet\" data-width=\"550\" data-dnt=\"true\">\n<p lang=\"en\" dir=\"ltr\">Khamenei&#39;s desperate call for elite endorsement after <a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/hashtag\/Iran?src=hash&amp;ref_src=twsrc%5Etfw\">#Iran<\/a>&#39;s bloody crackdown exposes regime fractures: silence from insiders, prolonged internet blackout, and fear of ongoing resistance. Analysis by <a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/HakamianMahmoud?ref_src=twsrc%5Etfw\">@HakamianMahmoud<\/a> <a href=\"https:\/\/t.co\/0zxnoeYkvY\">https:\/\/t.co\/0zxnoeYkvY<\/a><\/p>\n<p>&mdash; NCRI-FAC (@iran_policy) <a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/iran_policy\/status\/2014613512509686010?ref_src=twsrc%5Etfw\">January 23, 2026<\/a><\/p><\/blockquote>\n<p><script async src=\"https:\/\/platform.twitter.com\/widgets.js\" charset=\"utf-8\"><\/script><\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: justify;\"><span data-contrast=\"auto\">And then he explained why he\u00a0wants\u00a0the word \u201ccoup\u201d attached to ordinary people who took to the streets. \u201cThey attacked centers that run the country. This was like a coup,\u201d he said. He claimed the \u201cgoal\u201d was \u201cto destroy sensitive and effective centers in running the country,\u201d and asserted that \u201cthey attacked police, IRGC centers, some government centers and banks,\u201d and even \u201cmosques and the Qur\u2019an.\u201d<\/span><span data-ccp-props=\"{}\">\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: justify;\"><span data-contrast=\"auto\">This is where the deceit is obvious.<\/span><span data-ccp-props=\"{}\">\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: justify;\"><span data-contrast=\"auto\">A \u201ccoup d\u2019etat\u201d is the seizure of state power by an organized force. Khamenei uses the term because it is politically useful, not because it is true. Calling protests a coup does three things for him.<\/span><span data-ccp-props=\"{}\">\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: justify;\"><span data-contrast=\"auto\">First, it criminalizes dissent at the highest level. A protest is a political act; a \u201ccoup\u201d is treason. By declaring \u201ccoup,\u201d he tries to strip the uprising of legitimacy and turn the victims into perpetrators.<\/span><span data-ccp-props=\"{}\">\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n<blockquote class=\"twitter-tweet\" data-width=\"550\" data-dnt=\"true\">\n<p lang=\"en\" dir=\"ltr\">Khamenei\u2019s Insistence on A \u201cPropaganda War\u201d Exposes That His Battlefield Is Inside <a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/hashtag\/Iran?src=hash&amp;ref_src=twsrc%5Etfw\">#Iran<\/a><a href=\"https:\/\/t.co\/oTw7vPHbfP\">https:\/\/t.co\/oTw7vPHbfP<\/a><\/p>\n<p>&mdash; NCRI-FAC (@iran_policy) <a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/iran_policy\/status\/1999536997862461481?ref_src=twsrc%5Etfw\">December 12, 2025<\/a><\/p><\/blockquote>\n<p><script async src=\"https:\/\/platform.twitter.com\/widgets.js\" charset=\"utf-8\"><\/script><\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: justify;\"><span data-contrast=\"auto\">Second, it retroactively justifies whatever was done to crush it. If the public accepts \u201ccoup,\u201d then mass arrests, lethal force, and <a href=\"https:\/\/english.aawsat.com\/world\/5230638-cautious-calm-iran-amid-heightened-security-measures\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">sweeping security measures<\/a> become \u201cnecessary.\u201d That is why his sentence is constructed the way it is: \u201clike a coup\u2026 of course\u2026 suppressed.\u201d He is teaching his security apparatus and his loyalists the correct conclusion: suppression was right, and it should happen again.<\/span><span data-ccp-props=\"{}\">\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: justify;\"><span data-contrast=\"auto\">Third, it hides the regime\u2019s vulnerability. Khamenei does not talk this way when he feels secure. Leaders who trust their legitimacy do not need to label angry citizens as foreign-operated putschists. He chose \u201ccoup d\u2019etat\u201d because he fears the next wave will be larger, smarter, and harder to\u00a0contain.<\/span><span data-ccp-props=\"{}\">\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: justify;\"><span data-contrast=\"auto\">Even his own description gives the game away. He says the protests targeted \u201ccenters that run the country.\u201d That is exactly what a <a href=\"https:\/\/www.ncr-iran.org\/en\/news\/iran-protests\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">mass uprising<\/a> does when people have exhausted every other channel: they confront the institutions that enforce poverty, corruption, and repression. He calls it \u201ccoup\u201d because he cannot admit the real word: uprising.<\/span><span data-ccp-props=\"{}\">\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n<blockquote class=\"twitter-tweet\" data-width=\"550\" data-dnt=\"true\">\n<p lang=\"en\" dir=\"ltr\">Amid <a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/hashtag\/Iran?src=hash&amp;ref_src=twsrc%5Etfw\">#Iran<\/a>&#39;s escalating internal turmoil, Supreme Leader Ali Khamenei&#39;s orchestrated display of &quot;national cohesion,&quot; highlighted by a recent meeting between key advisers, laid bare the regime&#39;s fracturing alliances. As economic collapse collides with devastating regional defeats,\u2026<\/p>\n<p>&mdash; NCRI-FAC (@iran_policy) <a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/iran_policy\/status\/2003518278468272620?ref_src=twsrc%5Etfw\">December 23, 2025<\/a><\/p><\/blockquote>\n<p><script async src=\"https:\/\/platform.twitter.com\/widgets.js\" charset=\"utf-8\"><\/script><\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: justify;\"><span data-contrast=\"auto\">After so much brutality\u2014after families have <a href=\"https:\/\/www.nytimes.com\/2026\/01\/23\/world\/middleeast\/iran-protests-victims-bodies.html\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">buried fathers and mothers<\/a>, brothers and sisters,\u00a0sons\u00a0and daughters, after friends have disappeared into prisons or been returned in coffins\u2014societies do not simply \u201cmove on\u201d because the ruler delivers a speech. Repression without remedy does not restore order; it stores rage. When the causes\u00a0remain\u2014poverty engineered by corruption, humiliation enforced by militias, and killings met with impunity\u2014people learn that pleading changes nothing, and that survival itself requires defiance.<\/span><span data-ccp-props=\"{}\">\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: justify;\"><span data-contrast=\"auto\">The predictable result is escalation: the next wave will not be softer or more patient, but more confrontational and harder to\u00a0contain, with a higher risk of deadly clashes and a more explosive political rupture. That is not a threat or a slogan; it is the warning history gives every regime that answers citizens with bullets and then refuses justice.<\/span><span data-ccp-props=\"{}\">\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Three-minute read&nbsp; On February&nbsp;1, 2026, Ali Khamenei, the clerical regime&rsquo;s supreme leader, stood before a handpicked crowd in Tehran and tried to do what he always does when his system [&#8230;]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":8,"featured_media":332902,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[9],"tags":[130,5480],"class_list":{"0":"post-342167","1":"post","2":"type-post","3":"status-publish","4":"format-standard","5":"has-post-thumbnail","7":"category-iran-protests","8":"tag-iran-protests","9":"tag-ali-khamenei"},"yoast_head":"<!-- This site is optimized with the Yoast SEO plugin v27.4 - https:\/\/yoast.com\/product\/yoast-seo-wordpress\/ -->\n<title>Khamenei\u2019s Speech Was Not About War. 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