{"id":342529,"date":"2026-02-12T23:03:42","date_gmt":"2026-02-12T22:03:42","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.ncr-iran.org\/en\/?p=342529"},"modified":"2026-02-12T23:05:22","modified_gmt":"2026-02-12T22:05:22","slug":"iran-faces-rising-security-incidents-amid-deepening-economic-strain","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.ncr-iran.org\/en\/news\/iran-protests\/iran-faces-rising-security-incidents-amid-deepening-economic-strain\/","title":{"rendered":"Iran Faces Rising Security Incidents Amid Deepening Economic Strain"},"content":{"rendered":"<figure id=\"attachment_248037\" aria-describedby=\"caption-attachment-248037\" style=\"width: 1000px\" class=\"wp-caption alignnone\"><img decoding=\"async\" class=\"wp-image-248037 size-full\" src=\"https:\/\/www.ncr-iran.org\/en\/wp-content\/uploads\/2021\/09\/iran-stock-exchange-fiasco-1.jpg\" alt=\"iran-stock-exchange-fiasco (1)\" width=\"1000\" height=\"562\" srcset=\"https:\/\/www.ncr-iran.org\/en\/wp-content\/uploads\/2021\/09\/iran-stock-exchange-fiasco-1.jpg 1000w, https:\/\/www.ncr-iran.org\/en\/wp-content\/uploads\/2021\/09\/iran-stock-exchange-fiasco-1-300x169.jpg 300w, https:\/\/www.ncr-iran.org\/en\/wp-content\/uploads\/2021\/09\/iran-stock-exchange-fiasco-1-768x432.jpg 768w, https:\/\/www.ncr-iran.org\/en\/wp-content\/uploads\/2021\/09\/iran-stock-exchange-fiasco-1-150x84.jpg 150w, https:\/\/www.ncr-iran.org\/en\/wp-content\/uploads\/2021\/09\/iran-stock-exchange-fiasco-1-696x391.jpg 696w\" sizes=\"(max-width: 1000px) 100vw, 1000px\" \/><figcaption id=\"caption-attachment-248037\" class=\"wp-caption-text\">An investor watches red trading screens at the Tehran Stock Exchange<\/figcaption><\/figure>\n<p style=\"text-align: justify;\"><b><i><span data-contrast=\"auto\">Three-minute read<\/span><\/i><\/b><span data-ccp-props=\"{}\">\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: justify;\"><span data-contrast=\"auto\">A series of reports from across Iran this week point to mounting security and economic pressures as the country moves through the\u00a0hot\u00a0winter of\u00a02026.<\/span><span data-ccp-props=\"{}\">\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: justify;\"><span data-contrast=\"auto\"><a href=\"https:\/\/www.isna.ir\/news\/1404112313824\/%D8%B4%D9%87%D8%A7%D8%AF%D8%AA-%D9%85%D8%A7%D9%85%D9%88%D8%B1-%D9%BE%D9%84%DB%8C%D8%B3-%D8%AF%D8%B1-%D8%AF%D8%B1%DA%AF%DB%8C%D8%B1%DB%8C-%D8%A8%D8%A7-%D8%B3%D8%A7%D8%B1%D9%82-%D9%85%D8%B3%D9%84%D8%AD-%D8%AF%D8%B1-%D9%84%D8%B1%D8%B3%D8%AA%D8%A7%D9%86\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">State media reported<\/a> on Thursday that a\u00a0security\u00a0officer died after being wounded in an armed confrontation in\u00a0Mamulan, in Lorestan Province. Officials described the incident as a clash with an \u201carmed robber,\u201d\u00a0identifying\u00a0the officer as Mousa Aghaei and saying he died after being taken to hospital. Given the authorities\u2019 frequent tendency\u00a0to frame attacks on security personnel as ordinary criminal incidents rather than politically motivated violence, the stated motive and circumstances\u00a0remain\u00a0difficult to verify.<\/span><span data-ccp-props=\"{}\">\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: justify;\"><span data-contrast=\"auto\">In a separate incident, <a href=\"https:\/\/news.mojahedin.org\/i\/%D8%AA%D9%87%D8%A7%D8%AC%D9%85-%D8%A8%D9%87-%DA%A9%D8%A7%D8%B1%D9%88%D8%A7%D9%86-%D9%86%DB%8C%D8%B1%D9%88%D9%87%D8%A7%DB%8C-%D8%B3%D8%B1%DA%A9%D9%88%D8%A8%DA%AF%D8%B1-%D8%A7%D9%86%D8%AA%D8%B8%D8%A7%D9%85%DB%8C-%D8%AF%D8%B1-%D8%A7%DB%8C%D8%B1%D8%A7%D9%86%D8%B4%D9%87%D8%B1\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">opposition-aligned reporting<\/a> said an explosion targeted a convoy of Iranian security forces near Mohammad Abad as it moved through the\u00a0Iranshahr\u00a0area in Sistan and\u00a0Baluchestan\u00a0Province. The report\u00a0suggested\u00a0that at least two armored vehicles were destroyed. A group calling itself the People&#8217;s Fighters Front issued a statement taking responsibility and said further details would follow.\u00a0<\/span><span data-ccp-props=\"{}\">\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n<blockquote class=\"twitter-tweet\" data-width=\"550\" data-dnt=\"true\">\n<p lang=\"en\" dir=\"ltr\">\ud83d\udea8 Simay Azadi EXCLUSIVE | Kermanshah<\/p>\n<p>Kermanshah \u2014 February 10, 2026  <br \/>Exclusive footage shows defiant youth targeting a Khomeini Relief Committee office while chanting anti-regime slogans.  <br \/>\ud83d\udccd Resistance actions continue to be reported in multiple cities across Iran. <a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/hashtag\/Iran?src=hash&amp;ref_src=twsrc%5Etfw\">#Iran<\/a> <a href=\"https:\/\/t.co\/68OZLlYCmc\">pic.twitter.com\/68OZLlYCmc<\/a><\/p>\n<p>&mdash; SIMAY AZADI TV (@en_simayazadi) <a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/en_simayazadi\/status\/2022017347624820774?ref_src=twsrc%5Etfw\">February 12, 2026<\/a><\/p><\/blockquote>\n<p><script async src=\"https:\/\/platform.twitter.com\/widgets.js\" charset=\"utf-8\"><\/script><\/p>\n<h2 style=\"text-align: justify;\" aria-level=\"2\"><span data-contrast=\"none\">Officials stress firm response to unrest-related acts<\/span><span data-ccp-props=\"{&quot;134245418&quot;:true,&quot;134245529&quot;:true,&quot;335559738&quot;:160,&quot;335559739&quot;:80}\">\u00a0<\/span><\/h2>\n<p style=\"text-align: justify;\"><span data-contrast=\"auto\">Amid these incidents, official and semi-official outlets amplified messages from senior political and judicial figures emphasizing a tougher approach to unrest.<\/span><span data-ccp-props=\"{}\">\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: justify;\"><span data-contrast=\"auto\">In remarks broadcast by Baran TV, lawmaker <a href=\"https:\/\/snn.ir\/fa\/news\/1368664\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">Mojtaba\u00a0Zolnouri\u00a0said<\/a> what he described as efforts to destabilize the system had not changed. He referred to incidents such as the deliberate spreading of fuel on roads to cause security motorbike units to skid and argued that the country faced coordinated pressure.<\/span><span data-ccp-props=\"{}\">\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: justify;\" aria-level=\"2\"><span data-contrast=\"auto\">Senior judiciary official Mohammad Kazem Khalili said that \u201cthose who rioted\u201d and carried out arson \u201cwill be dealt with decisively,\u201d casting protest-related cases as matters for rapid punishment rather than due process. In a separate warning, judiciary\u00a0spokesman<a href=\"https:\/\/www.yjc.ir\/fa\/amp\/news\/9054547\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">\u00a0Asghar Jahangir said<\/a> that \u201cthose who deliberately and knowingly poured gasoline\u201d should \u201cbe sure\u201d they \u201cwill face legal action,\u201d adding that the head of the judiciary had ordered these files to be handled \u201cfirmly and decisively\u201d and faster. Taken together, the message is unmistakable: the regime is trying to deter and intimidate dissent by advertising speed, certainty, and severity of punishment.<\/span><span data-ccp-props=\"{&quot;134245418&quot;:true,&quot;134245529&quot;:true,&quot;335559738&quot;:160,&quot;335559739&quot;:80}\">\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n<blockquote class=\"twitter-tweet\" data-width=\"550\" data-dnt=\"true\">\n<p lang=\"en\" dir=\"ltr\">\ud83d\udea8 Simay Azadi EXCLUSIVE | Arak<br \/>In Arak  defiant youth targeted two IRGC Basij bases on February 10, 2026.<\/p>\n<p>\ud83d\udccd The attacks come amid continuing unrest and anti-regime activities reported in multiple cities across Iran. <a href=\"https:\/\/t.co\/FMW5hIlwMo\">pic.twitter.com\/FMW5hIlwMo<\/a><\/p>\n<p>&mdash; SIMAY AZADI TV (@en_simayazadi) <a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/en_simayazadi\/status\/2021650210980864100?ref_src=twsrc%5Etfw\">February 11, 2026<\/a><\/p><\/blockquote>\n<p><script async src=\"https:\/\/platform.twitter.com\/widgets.js\" charset=\"utf-8\"><\/script><\/p>\n<h2 style=\"text-align: justify;\" aria-level=\"2\"><span data-contrast=\"none\">Currency volatility drives sharp repricing in Tehran housing<\/span><span data-ccp-props=\"{&quot;134245418&quot;:true,&quot;134245529&quot;:true,&quot;335559738&quot;:160,&quot;335559739&quot;:80}\">\u00a0<\/span><\/h2>\n<p style=\"text-align: justify;\"><span data-contrast=\"auto\">At the same time, economic reporting described significant volatility in the housing market, particularly in Tehran.\u00a0State media\u00a0reported that asking prices for residential properties in\u00a0the capital have risen by 30 to 50 percent over the past two to three months, reflecting turbulence in currency and other asset markets.<\/span><span data-ccp-props=\"{}\">\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: justify;\"><span data-contrast=\"auto\">In a report\u00a0<\/span><a href=\"https:\/\/www.isna.ir\/news\/1404112112619\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\"><span data-contrast=\"none\">published by ISNA<\/span><\/a><span data-contrast=\"auto\">, housing-union official Mehdi\u00a0Karbasian\u00a0warned that the recent repricing of Tehran property\u2014driven, in his account, by political and currency \u201cexcitement\u201d\u2014is now poised to hit tenants as well, saying that \u201cthe policy of rate-setting and imposed prices in the rental market has not worked,\u201d and pointing to a widening gap between official ceilings and real-world outcomes: \u201cthe government set the permitted rent increase in Tehran at 25%, but rents have risen by about 50% on average,\u201d which he said shows landlords are not following the mandated limits; he also described a market where listings move but deals do not, stating that \u201cevery day we monitor new listings, we see apartment prices change, but no transaction takes place\u2014prices rise only nominally.\u201d<\/span><span data-ccp-props=\"{}\">\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: justify;\"><span data-contrast=\"auto\">The open-market dollar rate\u00a0also\u00a0rose from\u00a0roughly 130,000\u2013140,000 tomans in late December to <a href=\"https:\/\/www.bonbast.com\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">more than 160,000 tomans<\/a> in recent weeks. According to reports, sellers have either withdrawn properties from the market or repeatedly adjusted asking prices upward as expectations shift.<\/span><span data-ccp-props=\"{}\">\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n<blockquote class=\"twitter-tweet\" data-width=\"550\" data-dnt=\"true\">\n<p lang=\"en\" dir=\"ltr\">\ud83d\udea8 Simay Azadi EXCLUSIVE | Ahvaz<\/p>\n<p>In Ahvaz, footage shows defiant youth targeting an IRGC Basij base on the eve of the anniversary of the 1979 anti-monarchic revolution.<\/p>\n<p>\ud83d\udccd This occurs amid several anti-regime activities reported in multiple cities.<a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/hashtag\/IranProtests2026?src=hash&amp;ref_src=twsrc%5Etfw\">#IranProtests2026<\/a> <a href=\"https:\/\/t.co\/YdsVZ3Rkci\">pic.twitter.com\/YdsVZ3Rkci<\/a><\/p>\n<p>&mdash; SIMAY AZADI TV (@en_simayazadi) <a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/en_simayazadi\/status\/2021602877903454333?ref_src=twsrc%5Etfw\">February 11, 2026<\/a><\/p><\/blockquote>\n<p><script async src=\"https:\/\/platform.twitter.com\/widgets.js\" charset=\"utf-8\"><\/script><\/p>\n<h2 style=\"text-align: justify;\" aria-level=\"2\"><span data-contrast=\"none\">Rent pressures and uncertainty over next year<\/span><span data-ccp-props=\"{&quot;134245418&quot;:true,&quot;134245529&quot;:true,&quot;335559738&quot;:160,&quot;335559739&quot;:80}\">\u00a0<\/span><\/h2>\n<p style=\"text-align: justify;\"><span data-contrast=\"auto\">Beyond housing, a separate economic analysis cited an International Monetary Fund estimate placing real GDP growth at 0.6 percent and said consumer inflation has exceeded 42 percent. A nominal GDP figure of about\u00a0$451 billion, combined with a population estimate of 87.5 million, implies per-capita output near $4,000.<\/span><span data-ccp-props=\"{}\">\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: justify;\"><span data-contrast=\"auto\">The same analysis referenced a debt figure of <a href=\"https:\/\/www.ilna.ir\/%D8%A8%D8%AE%D8%B4-%DA%A9%D8%A7%D8%B1%DA%AF%D8%B1%DB%8C-9\/1750054-%D8%AA%D8%A7%D9%85%DB%8C%D9%86-%D8%A7%D8%AC%D8%AA%D9%85%D8%A7%D8%B9%DB%8C-%D8%A8%D8%A7-%D9%87%D8%B2%D8%A7%D8%B1-%D9%85%DB%8C%D9%84%DB%8C%D8%A7%D8%B1%D8%AF-%D8%AA%D9%88%D9%85%D8%A7%D9%86-%D8%A8%D8%AF%D9%87%DB%8C-%D9%88%D8%A7%D8%B1%D8%AF-%D8%B3%D8%A7%D9%84-%D8%AC%D8%AF%DB%8C%D8%AF-%D9%85%DB%8C-%D8%B4%D9%88%D8%AF-%D8%A7%D8%B5%D9%84%D8%A7%D8%AD-%D8%A8%D8%A7%D8%B2%D9%86%D8%B4%D8%B3%D8%AA%DA%AF%DB%8C-%D9%BE%DB%8C%D8%B4-%D8%A7%D8%B2-%D9%85%D9%88%D8%B9%D8%AF-%D8%A7%D9%87%D9%85%DB%8C%D8%AA-%D8%AF%D8%A7%D8%B1%D8%AF\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">130 trillion tomans<\/a> for the country\u2019s social security fund and cited the parliamentary research center as reporting gross fixed capital formation at minus 7.9 percent,\u00a0indicating\u00a0several years of declining investment. It also described continued capital flight into hard assets such as gold and foreign currency as confidence in the national currency weakens.<\/span><span data-ccp-props=\"{}\">\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: justify;\"><span data-contrast=\"auto\">The state-run\u00a0Didban\u00a0Iran\u00a0reported on February 12, 2026, that\u00a0kidney-sale advertisements have become more common among people born in the 2000s. The report linked the trend to unemployment, debt, and rising living costs, and said some online listings quote prices as high as 5 billion tomans, though advertised figures do not necessarily reflect completed transactions.<\/span><span data-ccp-props=\"{}\">\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: justify;\"><span data-contrast=\"auto\">Taken together,\u00a0everything\u00a0points\u00a0to a society sitting on the same combustible foundations that ignited <a href=\"https:\/\/www.ncr-iran.org\/en\/news\/iran-protests\/irans-post-january-crackdown-deepens-as-clerical-regime-stages-a-survival-celebration\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">the January uprising<\/a>\u2014currency collapse, unaffordable housing and rent, collapsing purchasing power, and a security-and-judicial apparatus openly primed for repression\u2014only now those drivers appear sharper and more entrenched. These\u00a0pressures are not dissipating; they are compounding. In that context, the next nationwide flare-up looks less like a question of \u201cif\u201d than a question of when, and what incident will provide the spark.<\/span><span data-ccp-props=\"{}\">\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Three-minute read&nbsp; A series of reports from across Iran this week point to mounting security and economic pressures as the country moves through the&nbsp;hot&nbsp;winter of&nbsp;2026.&nbsp; State media reported on Thursday [&#8230;]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":22,"featured_media":248037,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[9,10],"tags":[130,269],"class_list":{"0":"post-342529","1":"post","2":"type-post","3":"status-publish","4":"format-standard","5":"has-post-thumbnail","7":"category-iran-protests","8":"category-economy","9":"tag-iran-protests","10":"tag-iran-economy"},"yoast_head":"<!-- This site is optimized with the Yoast SEO plugin v27.5 - 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