{"id":343753,"date":"2026-03-23T18:03:46","date_gmt":"2026-03-23T17:03:46","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.ncr-iran.org\/en\/?p=343753"},"modified":"2026-03-23T18:40:40","modified_gmt":"2026-03-23T17:40:40","slug":"neither-appeasement-nor-war-will-free-iran","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.ncr-iran.org\/en\/news\/iran-resistance\/neither-appeasement-nor-war-will-free-iran\/","title":{"rendered":"Neither Appeasement\u00a0Nor\u00a0War Will Free Iran\u00a0"},"content":{"rendered":"<figure id=\"attachment_343654\" aria-describedby=\"caption-attachment-343654\" style=\"width: 1000px\" class=\"wp-caption alignnone\"><img decoding=\"async\" class=\"wp-image-343654 size-full\" src=\"https:\/\/www.ncr-iran.org\/en\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/03\/iran-tehran-bomb-aftermath-16032026.jpg\" alt=\"Destroyed buildings and damaged vehicles in Tehran at Bagheri Highway and Tahamtan Street after a midday bombing on March 16, 2026\" width=\"1000\" height=\"562\" srcset=\"https:\/\/www.ncr-iran.org\/en\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/03\/iran-tehran-bomb-aftermath-16032026.jpg 1000w, https:\/\/www.ncr-iran.org\/en\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/03\/iran-tehran-bomb-aftermath-16032026-300x169.jpg 300w, https:\/\/www.ncr-iran.org\/en\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/03\/iran-tehran-bomb-aftermath-16032026-768x432.jpg 768w, https:\/\/www.ncr-iran.org\/en\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/03\/iran-tehran-bomb-aftermath-16032026-747x420.jpg 747w, https:\/\/www.ncr-iran.org\/en\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/03\/iran-tehran-bomb-aftermath-16032026-150x84.jpg 150w, https:\/\/www.ncr-iran.org\/en\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/03\/iran-tehran-bomb-aftermath-16032026-696x391.jpg 696w\" sizes=\"(max-width: 1000px) 100vw, 1000px\" \/><figcaption id=\"caption-attachment-343654\" class=\"wp-caption-text\">Destroyed buildings and damaged vehicles in Tehran at Bagheri Highway and Tahamtan Street after a midday bombing on March 16, 2026<\/figcaption><\/figure>\n<p style=\"text-align: justify;\"><b><i><span data-contrast=\"auto\">Three-minute read<\/span><\/i><\/b><span data-ccp-props=\"{}\">\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: justify;\"><span data-contrast=\"auto\">For too long, the world treated the clerical regime in Tehran as a problem to be managed rather than a dictatorship to be confronted. The policy of appeasement was stretched to the breaking point. Every concession was justified in the name of stability. Every warning was dismissed as alarmism. Every delay was defended as diplomacy. But the result of this strategy is now impossible to\u00a0deny:\u00a0<a href=\"https:\/\/isjcommittee.com\/2026\/02\/appeasement-has-failed-britain-must-finally-proscribe-the-irgc-and-close-irans-embassy\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">appeasement did not moderate<\/a> the regime, restrain its ambitions, or make the region safer. It gave the mullahs time, money, legitimacy, and room to expand their machinery of repression at home and terrorism abroad.<\/span><span data-ccp-props=\"{}\">\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: justify;\"><span data-contrast=\"auto\">The Iranian regime used that breathing space exactly as the Iranian resistance said it would. It did not become more pragmatic. It became more aggressive. It tightened its grip on Iranian society while deepening its investment in proxy warfare, ideological radicalization, and regional destabilization. This was never merely a foreign-policy posture. It was a doctrine of survival. The regime has always understood that when its internal crisis sharpens, it must redirect attention outward. When the ground trembles under its feet in Iran, it tries to set the region on fire.<\/span><span data-ccp-props=\"{}\">\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: justify;\"><span data-contrast=\"auto\">That is the proper context in which October 7, 2023, <a href=\"https:\/\/www.ncr-iran.org\/en\/news\/terrorism-a-fundamentalism\/making-sense-of-iranian-officials-ambiguous-assertions-about-october-7-attacks\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">must be understood<\/a>. The attacks were not simply another eruption in a long regional conflict. They also\u00a0served\u00a0the strategic interests of a regime facing the ever-present danger of nationwide uprising. Tehran has long relied on the export of crisis as a method of self-preservation. In effect, it\u00a0sought\u00a0to push its own survival crisis beyond its borders. Instead of confronting the growing rage of the Iranian people, it bet on regional war, mass trauma, and strategic confusion.<\/span><span data-ccp-props=\"{}\">\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n<blockquote class=\"twitter-tweet\" data-width=\"550\" data-dnt=\"true\">\n<p lang=\"en\" dir=\"ltr\">EU leaders\u2019 policy of appeasement has emboldened <a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/hashtag\/Iran?src=hash&amp;ref_src=twsrc%5Etfw\">#Iran<\/a>\u2019s regime to carry out acts of terror on European soil. The explosives that Javad Zarif\u2019s \u2018diplomat\u2019 tried to use at the <a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/hashtag\/FreeIran2018?src=hash&amp;ref_src=twsrc%5Etfw\">#FreeIran2018<\/a> Paris event was same type that ISIS used in France &amp; Belgium. <a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/hashtag\/ExpelIranDiplomatTerrorists?src=hash&amp;ref_src=twsrc%5Etfw\">#ExpelIranDiplomatTerrorists<\/a> <a href=\"https:\/\/t.co\/dkZ5tDxv51\">pic.twitter.com\/dkZ5tDxv51<\/a><\/p>\n<p>&mdash; Mohammad Mohaddessin (@Mohaddessin) <a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/Mohaddessin\/status\/1047826923441860608?ref_src=twsrc%5Etfw\">October 4, 2018<\/a><\/p><\/blockquote>\n<p><script async src=\"https:\/\/platform.twitter.com\/widgets.js\" charset=\"utf-8\"><\/script><\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: justify;\"><span data-contrast=\"auto\">Khamenei, the principal architect of this doctrine,\u00a0likely believed\u00a0he knew how the script would unfold. He seems to have calculated that the Israeli backlash would resemble\u00a0previous\u00a0limited wars: catastrophic for Palestinians, destabilizing for the region, emotionally useful for Tehran\u2019s propaganda, and yet still safely contained at a distance from the regime\u2019s core. In that scenario, the mullahs would once again hide behind proxies, harvest political chaos, and buy themselves time at home.<\/span><span data-ccp-props=\"{}\">\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: justify;\"><span data-contrast=\"auto\">But this time the calculation began to turn against its author. The regime that had so often\u00a0operated\u00a0through intermediaries found itself under more direct scrutiny. <a href=\"https:\/\/iranprobe.com\/the-defeat-of-the-snakes-head-in-tehran-is-a-necessary-and-sufficient-condition-to-stop-the-threat-of-religious-fascism\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">The head of the snake<\/a>, long shielded by layers of deniability, became harder to ignore. This was not the outcome Tehran expected. It had planned for controlled escalation, not for the possibility that its own\u00a0central role\u00a0would become the focus.<\/span><span data-ccp-props=\"{}\">\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: justify;\"><span data-contrast=\"auto\">Yet the failure of appeasement has produced a second illusion, one that is no less dangerous: the belief that war can solve what appeasement\u00a0could not. This is where many governments, pundits, and strategists are still getting Iran wrong. Airstrikes, military escalation, and external pressure may weaken elements of the regime, but they do not automatically produce democratic change. In fact, war often gives dictatorships exactly what they need: a siege atmosphere, an excuse for greater repression, a pretext for nationalist blackmail, and an opportunity to close internal fractures.<\/span><span data-ccp-props=\"{}\">\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n<blockquote class=\"twitter-tweet\" data-width=\"550\" data-dnt=\"true\">\n<p lang=\"en\" dir=\"ltr\">NCRI Editorial: Appeasement with <a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/hashtag\/Iranian?src=hash&amp;ref_src=twsrc%5Etfw\">#Iranian<\/a> Regime Cannot Change its Fate, Only Extend the Suffering<a href=\"https:\/\/t.co\/LkEJxCXVBN\">https:\/\/t.co\/LkEJxCXVBN<\/a><\/p>\n<p>&mdash; NCRI-FAC (@iran_policy) <a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/iran_policy\/status\/1973327041341612059?ref_src=twsrc%5Etfw\">October 1, 2025<\/a><\/p><\/blockquote>\n<p><script async src=\"https:\/\/platform.twitter.com\/widgets.js\" charset=\"utf-8\"><\/script><\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: justify;\"><span data-contrast=\"auto\">A dictatorship under bombardment does not necessarily collapse. It often hardens. It tells a frightened population that dissent is\u00a0treason\u00a0and that survival requires obedience. It uses the language of national defense to prolong domestic tyranny. That is why the notion that Iran can simply be bombed into freedom is as flawed as the earlier fantasy that it could be negotiated into decency.<\/span><span data-ccp-props=\"{}\">\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: justify;\"><span data-contrast=\"auto\">Both schools of thought fail for the same reason: they misread the nature of the regime. Appeasement assumed the mullahs could be persuaded to behave like a normal state. War assumes they can be removed as though they were merely a military target. But\u00a0the\u00a0clerical\u00a0dictatorship\u00a0is not just a government with bad policies. It is an<a href=\"https:\/\/www.amazon.de\/-\/en\/Islamic-Fundamentalism-New-Global-Threat\/dp\/0929765222\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\"> ideological system rooted<\/a> in repression, religious absolutism, and organized violence. Its core problem is political, not merely diplomatic or military. And political systems of this kind are not ended by wishful diplomacy or by external force alone.<\/span><span data-ccp-props=\"{}\">\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: justify;\"><span data-contrast=\"auto\">They are ended when the people they oppress reject them decisively, and when that rejection is organized into a real alternative.<\/span><span data-ccp-props=\"{}\">\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n<blockquote class=\"twitter-tweet\" data-width=\"550\" data-dnt=\"true\">\n<p lang=\"en\" dir=\"ltr\"><a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/hashtag\/FreeIran2024?src=hash&amp;ref_src=twsrc%5Etfw\">#FreeIran2024<\/a> World Summit \u2013 Day 2<br \/>Appeasement of the Mullahs Betrays Freedom, Peace, Justice, and <a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/hashtag\/HumanRights?src=hash&amp;ref_src=twsrc%5Etfw\">#HumanRights<\/a> <a href=\"https:\/\/t.co\/eQCjlvsciR\">pic.twitter.com\/eQCjlvsciR<\/a><\/p>\n<p>&mdash; Maryam Rajavi (@Maryam_Rajavi) <a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/Maryam_Rajavi\/status\/1807677770102882615?ref_src=twsrc%5Etfw\">July 1, 2024<\/a><\/p><\/blockquote>\n<p><script async src=\"https:\/\/platform.twitter.com\/widgets.js\" charset=\"utf-8\"><\/script><\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: justify;\"><span data-contrast=\"auto\">That is the missing element in so much of the world\u2019s debate on Iran. The decisive factor is neither another round of accommodation nor another round of war. It is regime change by the people of Iran and their organized resistance. Not chaos. Not\u00a0foreign\u00a0occupation. Not another recycled dictatorship in a different costume. A d<\/span><span data-contrast=\"auto\">emocratic transition led by Iranian\u00a0people and\u00a0their\u00a0organized resistance.<\/span><span data-ccp-props=\"{}\">\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: justify;\"><span data-contrast=\"auto\">This is the\u00a0lesson\u00a0the world is learning the hard way.\u00a0Appeas<\/span><span data-contrast=\"auto\">ement\u00a0has already had its full historical trial, and it failed. Now some seem determined to give war the same exhaustive chance, as though missiles can\u00a0accomplish\u00a0what concessions could not. That too will fail if it is not anchored in the agency of the Iranian people. The road out of this crisis does not run through the survival calculations of the mullahs, nor through the <a href=\"https:\/\/www.theguardian.com\/world\/ng-interactive\/2026\/mar\/21\/iranian-americans-us-israel-iran-war\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">destructive illusions<\/a> of yet another regional war. It runs through the overthrow of a regime that has made terrorism, fundamentalism, and\u00a0repression\u00a0the pillars of its existence.<\/span><span data-ccp-props=\"{}\">\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: justify;\"><span data-contrast=\"auto\">Neither appeasement nor war will free Iran. Only the Iranian people can do that, and only an organized democratic resistance can turn that possibility into reality.<\/span><span data-ccp-props=\"{}\">\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Three-minute read&nbsp; For too long, the world treated the clerical regime in Tehran as a problem to be managed rather than a dictatorship to be confronted. The policy of appeasement [&#8230;]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":91,"featured_media":343654,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[13],"tags":[222],"class_list":{"0":"post-343753","1":"post","2":"type-post","3":"status-publish","4":"format-standard","5":"has-post-thumbnail","7":"category-iran-resistance","8":"tag-iranian-resistance"},"yoast_head":"<!-- This site is optimized with the Yoast SEO plugin v27.4 - https:\/\/yoast.com\/product\/yoast-seo-wordpress\/ -->\n<title>Neither Appeasement\u00a0Nor\u00a0War Will Free Iran\u00a0 - NCRI<\/title>\n<meta name=\"description\" content=\"Three-minute read\u00a0 For too long, the world treated the clerical regime in Tehran as a problem to be managed rather than a dictatorship to be confronted.\" \/>\n<meta name=\"robots\" content=\"index, follow, max-snippet:-1, max-image-preview:large, max-video-preview:-1\" \/>\n<link rel=\"canonical\" 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