{"id":348232,"date":"2026-09-22T19:34:55","date_gmt":"2026-09-22T18:34:55","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.ncr-iran.org\/en\/?p=348232"},"modified":"2026-09-22T19:34:55","modified_gmt":"2026-09-22T18:34:55","slug":"economic-data-in-iran-show-10-contraction-as-protests-spread-and-officials-fear-internal-unrest","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.ncr-iran.org\/en\/news\/economy\/economic-data-in-iran-show-10-contraction-as-protests-spread-and-officials-fear-internal-unrest\/","title":{"rendered":"Economic Data in Iran Show 10% Contraction as Protests Spread and Officials Fear Internal Unrest"},"content":{"rendered":"<figure id=\"attachment_310042\" aria-describedby=\"caption-attachment-310042\" style=\"width: 1000px\" class=\"wp-caption alignnone\"><img decoding=\"async\" class=\"size-full wp-image-310042\" src=\"https:\/\/www.ncr-iran.org\/en\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/07\/iran-economic-bankrupcy-crowd-bank-1.jpg\" alt=\"File photo: A crowd gathers outside a local money exchange shop amid mounting currency instability and the collapse of the Iranian rial\" width=\"1000\" height=\"567\" srcset=\"https:\/\/www.ncr-iran.org\/en\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/07\/iran-economic-bankrupcy-crowd-bank-1.jpg 1000w, https:\/\/www.ncr-iran.org\/en\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/07\/iran-economic-bankrupcy-crowd-bank-1-300x170.jpg 300w, https:\/\/www.ncr-iran.org\/en\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/07\/iran-economic-bankrupcy-crowd-bank-1-768x435.jpg 768w, https:\/\/www.ncr-iran.org\/en\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/07\/iran-economic-bankrupcy-crowd-bank-1-150x85.jpg 150w, https:\/\/www.ncr-iran.org\/en\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/07\/iran-economic-bankrupcy-crowd-bank-1-696x395.jpg 696w\" sizes=\"(max-width: 1000px) 100vw, 1000px\" \/><figcaption id=\"caption-attachment-310042\" class=\"wp-caption-text\">File photo: A crowd gathers outside a local money exchange shop amid mounting currency instability and the collapse of the Iranian rial<\/figcaption><\/figure>\n<p style=\"text-align: justify;\"><em><strong>Three-minute read<\/strong><\/em><\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: justify;\">Even by the Iranian regime\u2019s own measurements, the economy is contracting at an extraordinary pace. Figures attributed to the Statistical Center and <a href=\"https:\/\/www.tasnimnews.ir\/fa\/news\/1405\/06\/29\/3701330\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">carried by<\/a> <a href=\"https:\/\/www.tasnimnews.ir\/fa\/news\/1405\/06\/29\/3701330\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">Tasnim<\/a> show gross domestic product falling 10.1 percent year-on-year in spring 2026 with oil and 4.6 percent without it. Industry and mining contracted 14.7 percent and services 4.8 percent. Whatever the limitations of official statistics in Iran, the figures amount to an admission from inside the state apparatus that the underlying economy has deteriorated sharply.<\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: justify;\">The government has offered no convincing path out. It&#8217;s president, Masoud <a href=\"https:\/\/www.entekhab.ir\/fa\/news\/940352\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">Pezeshkian, said<\/a> on September 21, 2026, that pressure to increase wages merely produces higher inflation and leaves salaries worthless. \u201cThey apply pressure and constantly increase salaries, then from the other side inflation rises and salaries lose their value,\u201d he said, claiming that officials were still searching for a solution.<\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: justify;\">Even lawmakers are describing the consequences in harsher terms. MP Hajipour said surging inflation and rents had \u201cbroken people\u2019s backs,\u201d while the head of the poultry-farmers\u2019 union said egg exports had plunged from roughly 55,000 tons last year to about 15,000 tons so far this year, blaming bureaucratic controls and regulatory failures.<\/p>\n<blockquote class=\"twitter-tweet\" data-width=\"550\" data-dnt=\"true\">\n<p lang=\"en\" dir=\"ltr\">Zahedan Gunfire Shadows Basij-<a href=\"https:\/\/x.com\/hashtag\/IRGC?src=hash&amp;ref_src=twsrc%5Etfw\">#IRGC<\/a> Parade Amid Sanctions, Police Abuse and Division<br \/>by Amir Taghati<a href=\"https:\/\/t.co\/R9vljTNE3I\">https:\/\/t.co\/R9vljTNE3I<\/a><\/p>\n<p>&mdash; NCRI-FAC (@iran_policy) <a href=\"https:\/\/x.com\/iran_policy\/status\/2101036722414916094?ref_src=twsrc%5Etfw\">September 18, 2026<\/a><\/p><\/blockquote>\n<p><script async src=\"https:\/\/platform.x.com\/widgets.js\" charset=\"utf-8\"><\/script><\/p>\n<h2 style=\"text-align: justify;\">Economic Anger Moves into the Street<\/h2>\n<p style=\"text-align: justify;\">The social consequences are increasingly visible. On September 22, the official <a href=\"https:\/\/www.irna.ir\/news\/86270910\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">IRNA news agency<\/a> reported a protest by employees of Kermanshah University of Medical Sciences over delayed payments, wages and working conditions. Protesters chanted \u201cEnough promises, our table is empty,\u201d while workers said some compensation was months overdue.<\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: justify;\">In Khuzestan, the confrontation has become more severe. Videos from protests by unemployed youth from Moran, Omeyshiyeh and surrounding communities show police pursuing demonstrators with batons while gunfire can be heard. Residents say they have spent years demanding local hiring at sugar-industry facilities developed around lands historically belonging to their communities. One unemployed protester said even employed workers could no longer cover basic expenses, while those without jobs had virtually nothing. Reports said phones were confiscated and images deleted during earlier clashes.<\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: justify;\">These protests form part of a broader pattern of <a href=\"https:\/\/www.ncr-iran.org\/en\/ncri-statements\/statement-iran-protest\/iran-protests-by-oppressed-strata-in-various-cities\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">labor and retiree unrest across Iran<\/a> in which demands over wages, pensions and employment increasingly collide with anger at the institutions responsible for administering the economy.<\/p>\n<blockquote class=\"twitter-tweet\" data-width=\"550\" data-dnt=\"true\">\n<p lang=\"en\" dir=\"ltr\">&quot;Iran is entering the final days of September under simultaneous pressure from soaring living costs, a weakened <a href=\"https:\/\/x.com\/hashtag\/currency?src=hash&amp;ref_src=twsrc%5Etfw\">#currency<\/a>, fuel shortages and problems across industrial supply chains,&quot; <a href=\"https:\/\/x.com\/MansoreGolestan?ref_src=twsrc%5Etfw\">@MansoreGolestan<\/a> writes.<a href=\"https:\/\/t.co\/N7NEb86C1o\">https:\/\/t.co\/N7NEb86C1o<\/a><\/p>\n<p>&mdash; NCRI-FAC (@iran_policy) <a href=\"https:\/\/x.com\/iran_policy\/status\/2101381518601945364?ref_src=twsrc%5Etfw\">September 19, 2026<\/a><\/p><\/blockquote>\n<p><script async src=\"https:\/\/platform.x.com\/widgets.js\" charset=\"utf-8\"><\/script><\/p>\n<h2 style=\"text-align: justify;\">\u201cI Fear Internal Issues More\u201d<\/h2>\n<p style=\"text-align: justify;\">The clearest expression of the establishment\u2019s anxiety came not from an opposition source but from a state-organized gathering broadcast inside Iran. Commentator <a href=\"https:\/\/www.instagram.com\/reel\/DdlGVXUPQmK\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">Bijan Abdolkarimi warned<\/a>: \u201cI fear internal issues more than I fear external issues and foreigners.\u201d<\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: justify;\">He pointed to two dangers: a cultural divide and what he called a \u201chuge class gap.\u201d Referring to the January uprising, Abdolkarimi acknowledged that many protesters belonged to \u201cthe hungry section of society\u201d and were not simply opposition activists or foreign agents. The admission cuts directly against the authorities\u2019 repeated effort to explain mass unrest primarily through foreign conspiracies.<\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: justify;\">At the same time, the Basij\u2019s mobilization is continuing to spread geographically. <a href=\"https:\/\/www.irna.ir\/news\/86271368\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">IRNA reported on September 22<\/a> preparations for another mobilization in Shush, where officials stressed \u201cunity and national cohesion\u201d and warned against &#8220;public hopelessness&#8221; under economic pressure.<\/p>\n<blockquote class=\"twitter-tweet\" data-width=\"550\" data-dnt=\"true\">\n<p lang=\"en\" dir=\"ltr\">&quot;Iran\u2019s accumulating <a href=\"https:\/\/x.com\/hashtag\/economic?src=hash&amp;ref_src=twsrc%5Etfw\">#economic<\/a> pressures moved visibly into the streets on September 20, 2026, as retirees demonstrated in several cities while the rial again weakened sharply,&quot; writes <a href=\"https:\/\/x.com\/shahriarkia?ref_src=twsrc%5Etfw\">@shahriarkia<\/a>.<a href=\"https:\/\/t.co\/scTS9SL15B\">https:\/\/t.co\/scTS9SL15B<\/a><\/p>\n<p>&mdash; NCRI-FAC (@iran_policy) <a href=\"https:\/\/x.com\/iran_policy\/status\/2101733629605113983?ref_src=twsrc%5Etfw\">September 20, 2026<\/a><\/p><\/blockquote>\n<p><script async src=\"https:\/\/platform.x.com\/widgets.js\" charset=\"utf-8\"><\/script><\/p>\n<h2 style=\"text-align: justify;\">Propaganda and Infighting Intensify<\/h2>\n<p style=\"text-align: justify;\">The security response also extends into the information sphere. IRIB chief Peyman Jebelli described how state broadcasting mobilized its television, radio and news networks after the gasoline-system hacking \u201cso that sedition would not emerge.\u201d He said IRIB was no longer merely an observer of events but had become an \u201cevent-maker\u201d and \u201cfield-maker\u201d actively involved in shaping them.<\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: justify;\">Meanwhile, factional conflict inside the establishment is widening. MP Kamran <a href=\"https:\/\/www.rouydad24.ir\/fa\/news\/470983\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">Ghazanfari confirmed<\/a> that some lawmakers were again pursuing a motion declaring Pezeshkian politically incompetent, explicitly citing the country\u2019s economic, political and cultural conditions. Another lawmaker attacked both Pezeshkian and former president Hassan Rouhani for language deemed too weak, while the state-aligned <em>Arman<\/em> newspaper complained that scarcely a day passes without attacks on officials and that nighttime regime rallies themselves have featured chants calling for the death of rival figures.<\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: justify;\">The picture emerging from the establishment\u2019s own statistics, media and political debates is therefore increasingly stark: output is shrinking, purchasing power is collapsing, workers and unemployed youth are protesting, and internal disputes are deepening. At the same time, the authorities are enlarging Basij mobilization and openly using state broadcasting to prevent discontent from becoming what they call \u201csedition.\u201d<\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: justify;\">The telling admission is Abdolkarimi\u2019s: the danger feared most is increasingly inside Iran itself\u2014a society under <a href=\"https:\/\/www.ncr-iran.org\/en\/news\/economy\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">severe economic pressure<\/a> with a long record of turning social grievances into nationwide political unrest.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Three-minute read Even by the Iranian regime&rsquo;s own measurements, the economy is contracting at an extraordinary pace. Figures attributed to the Statistical Center and carried by Tasnim show gross domestic product falling 10.1 percent year-on-year in spring 2026 with oil and 4.6 percent without it. Industry and mining contracted 14.7 percent and services 4.8 percent. [&hellip;]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":53,"featured_media":310042,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[9,10,5450],"tags":[130,269,5482],"class_list":["post-348232","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","category-iran-protests","category-economy","category-iranian-regime-infighting","tag-iran-protests","tag-iran-economy","tag-iranian-regime-infighting"],"yoast_head":"<!-- This site is optimized with the Yoast SEO plugin v28.4 - https:\/\/yoast.com\/product\/yoast-seo-wordpress\/ -->\n<title>Economic Data in Iran Show 10% Contraction as Protests Spread and Officials Fear Internal Unrest - NCRI<\/title>\n<meta name=\"description\" content=\"Three-minute read Even by the Iranian regime\u2019s own measurements, the economy is contracting at an extraordinary pace. 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