{"id":348304,"date":"2026-09-24T17:44:10","date_gmt":"2026-09-24T16:44:10","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.ncr-iran.org\/en\/?p=348304"},"modified":"2026-09-24T17:44:10","modified_gmt":"2026-09-24T16:44:10","slug":"interpreting-pezeshkians-defiance-at-the-un-general-assembly","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.ncr-iran.org\/en\/news\/iran-protests\/interpreting-pezeshkians-defiance-at-the-un-general-assembly\/","title":{"rendered":"Interpreting Pezeshkian\u2019s Defiance at the UN General Assembly"},"content":{"rendered":"<figure id=\"attachment_348305\" aria-describedby=\"caption-attachment-348305\" style=\"width: 1000px\" class=\"wp-caption alignnone\"><img decoding=\"async\" class=\"size-full wp-image-348305\" src=\"https:\/\/www.ncr-iran.org\/en\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/09\/un-new-york-masoud-pezeshkian-speech-23092026.jpg\" alt=\"\" width=\"1000\" height=\"562\" srcset=\"https:\/\/www.ncr-iran.org\/en\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/09\/un-new-york-masoud-pezeshkian-speech-23092026.jpg 1000w, https:\/\/www.ncr-iran.org\/en\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/09\/un-new-york-masoud-pezeshkian-speech-23092026-300x169.jpg 300w, https:\/\/www.ncr-iran.org\/en\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/09\/un-new-york-masoud-pezeshkian-speech-23092026-768x432.jpg 768w, https:\/\/www.ncr-iran.org\/en\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/09\/un-new-york-masoud-pezeshkian-speech-23092026-747x420.jpg 747w, https:\/\/www.ncr-iran.org\/en\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/09\/un-new-york-masoud-pezeshkian-speech-23092026-150x84.jpg 150w, https:\/\/www.ncr-iran.org\/en\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/09\/un-new-york-masoud-pezeshkian-speech-23092026-696x391.jpg 696w\" sizes=\"(max-width: 1000px) 100vw, 1000px\" \/><figcaption id=\"caption-attachment-348305\" class=\"wp-caption-text\">Iranian regime&#8217;s president Masoud Pezeshkian holds a portrait of the slain Supreme Leader Ayatollah Ali Khamenei while addressing the 81st session of the United Nations General Assembly at UN Headquarters in New York City, September 23, 2026<\/figcaption><\/figure>\n<p style=\"text-align: justify;\"><strong><em>Four-minute read<\/em><\/strong><\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: justify;\">The Iranian regime\u2019s president Masoud Pezeshkian arrived at the United Nations this week with a message of defiance. <a href=\"https:\/\/www.reuters.com\/world\/middle-east\/irans-president-says-tehran-will-not-surrender-war-with-us-but-believes-2026-09-23\/?utm_source=chatgpt.com\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">He accused Washington<\/a> of a \u201cbullying mentality\u201d and said Iran would not surrender under American pressure, even as his government signaled that negotiations could continue.<\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: justify;\">It sounded like confidence. It may be closer to desperation.<\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: justify;\">What is frequently described as the Iranian regime\u2019s \u201cresilience\u201d obscures the more important question: What happens if the regime backs down? For a state confronting war abroad, severe economic deterioration and one of the bloodiest domestic uprisings in its history, surrendering to foreign pressure may appear less like a diplomatic adjustment than an invitation to challenges from below.<\/p>\n<h2 style=\"text-align: justify;\">An Economy Losing Its Shock Absorbers<\/h2>\n<p style=\"text-align: justify;\">The economic backdrop is extraordinary. The International Monetary Fund <a href=\"https:\/\/www.imf.org\/en\/countries\/irn\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">(IMF) expects Iran\u2019s economy<\/a> to contract 5.4 percent this year, with consumer-price inflation averaging 68.9 percent. The IMF cautions that even these projections carry unusual uncertainty because of sanctions and geopolitical conditions.<\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: justify;\">Those numbers matter less as measures of public misery than as indicators of diminishing state room for maneuver. A contracting economy, impaired oil exports, chronic fiscal demands and deteriorating purchasing power leave Tehran fewer resources with which to buy social peace, reward constituencies or absorb another shock.<\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: justify;\">Yet the regime continues to reject an agreement. That does not necessarily mean economic pressure has failed. It can mean the opposite: the leadership may believe it has reached the point where retreat carries greater political risk than continued economic punishment.<\/p>\n<blockquote class=\"twitter-tweet\" data-width=\"550\" data-dnt=\"true\">\n<p lang=\"en\" dir=\"ltr\">&quot;On the morning after the ceasefire, every exhausted and exasperated mind, long numbed by the <a href=\"https:\/\/x.com\/hashtag\/IranWar?src=hash&amp;ref_src=twsrc%5Etfw\">#IranWar<\/a>, will turn instinctively toward the search for real change and the practical means to bring this regime to an end.&quot; <a href=\"https:\/\/t.co\/8Tmh0Sl0Kc\">https:\/\/t.co\/8Tmh0Sl0Kc<\/a><\/p>\n<p>&mdash; NCRI-FAC (@iran_policy) <a href=\"https:\/\/x.com\/iran_policy\/status\/2042283396089467265?ref_src=twsrc%5Etfw\">April 9, 2026<\/a><\/p><\/blockquote>\n<p><script async src=\"https:\/\/platform.x.com\/widgets.js\" charset=\"utf-8\"><\/script><\/p>\n<h2 style=\"text-align: justify;\">The Threat Tehran Cannot Bomb Away<\/h2>\n<p style=\"text-align: justify;\">The evidence for that calculation lies on Iran\u2019s streets.<\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: justify;\">According to the National Council of Resistance of Iran, the uprising that began in late December spread with remarkable speed across the country. <a href=\"https:\/\/www.ncr-iran.org\/en\/ncri-statements\/statement-iran-protest\/irans-uprising-expands-to-107-cities-across-the-country\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">NCRI reported<\/a> demonstrations in 107 cities by the eighth day, 180 cities by Jan. 9 and 192 cities by the following night, alongside strikes by bazaar merchants and protests involving students and other sectors of society.<\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: justify;\">The regime\u2019s own figures are more revealing. An Iranian <a href=\"https:\/\/www.reuters.com\/business\/media-telecom\/iranian-official-says-verified-deaths-iran-protests-reaches-least-5000-2026-01-18\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">official told Reuters<\/a> in January that authorities had verified at least 5,000 deaths, including approximately 500 members of the security forces. Tehran attributed much of the bloodshed to armed rioters and foreign-backed groups.<\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: justify;\">This is the nightmare against which Tehran must calculate every foreign-policy concession. Bombs can destroy infrastructure. Sanctions can empty accounts. Neither, by itself, removes the men carrying rifles for the regime. A nationwide political breakdown might.<\/p>\n<h2 style=\"text-align: justify;\">Guns, Gallows and a State Preparing for the Street<\/h2>\n<p style=\"text-align: justify;\">Look at what the authorities have chosen to publicize since the uprising.<\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: justify;\">In March, the Intelligence Ministry announced that it had seized 87 weapons, including Kalashnikov rifles, shoulder-fired weapons and an RPG, while <a href=\"https:\/\/www.tasnimnews.ir\/fa\/news\/1405\/01\/09\/3552031\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">arresting 30 people<\/a> across several provinces. Weeks later, it announced another operation involving 42 firearms allegedly being brought from Iraqi Kurdistan for distribution inside Iran.<\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: justify;\">Publicizing weapons caches, alleged cells and supposed foreign connections serves several purposes at once: intimidating would-be opponents, mobilizing loyalists and portraying political unrest as part of a security war rather than as a crisis of legitimacy.<\/p>\n<blockquote class=\"twitter-tweet\" data-width=\"550\" data-dnt=\"true\">\n<p lang=\"en\" dir=\"ltr\">Why the Iranian Regime Chose\u200c War and <a href=\"https:\/\/x.com\/hashtag\/Economic?src=hash&amp;ref_src=twsrc%5Etfw\">#Economic<\/a> Siege Over an Ideal Deal <br \/>by <a href=\"https:\/\/x.com\/HakamianMahmoud?ref_src=twsrc%5Etfw\">@HakamianMahmoud<\/a> <a href=\"https:\/\/t.co\/Dxg60oscz5\">https:\/\/t.co\/Dxg60oscz5<\/a><\/p>\n<p>&mdash; NCRI-FAC (@iran_policy) <a href=\"https:\/\/x.com\/iran_policy\/status\/2092546514576908478?ref_src=twsrc%5Etfw\">August 26, 2026<\/a><\/p><\/blockquote>\n<p><script async src=\"https:\/\/platform.x.com\/widgets.js\" charset=\"utf-8\"><\/script><\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: justify;\">The executions are harder to misread. By Aug. 5, U.N. human-rights chief Volker T\u00fcrk said Iran had executed <a href=\"https:\/\/www.reuters.com\/world\/middle-east\/un-rights-chief-says-iran-executed-least-56-people-since-march-2026-08-05\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">at least 56 people<\/a> on national-security charges since March 19, including 27 people linked to the protests earlier this year. More than 100 others were reported to face similar risks. Iranian authorities defend such prosecutions as necessary for security; the United Nations argues that executions are being used to suppress dissent and instill fear.<\/p>\n<h2 style=\"text-align: justify;\">An Opposition That Did Not Disappear<\/h2>\n<p style=\"text-align: justify;\">There is another problem Tehran must factor into its calculations: from March 4 through Sept. 16, the NCRI publicly reported hundreds of operations in 15 separately announced waves by <a href=\"https:\/\/english.mojahedin.org\/pmoi-resistance-units\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">PMOI-linked Resistance Units<\/a>, targeting Basij, Revolutionary Guard and other regime facilities.<\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: justify;\">Separately, a conservative count of publicly reported armed attacks and clashes since late June finds at least 15 incidents involving regime security forces and at least 21 personnel killed: roughly 5 IRGC members, 4 Basij members, 2 border guards, 9 other police\/FARAJA personnel and one army conscript. The violence has stretched from Kurdish areas in the west to Sistan and Baluchestan in the southeast.<\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: justify;\">For Tehran, the danger is not that these forces already constitute one unified insurgency, but that another mass uprising could create conditions in which organized opposition, armed unrest and broader social anger begin to reinforce one another.<\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: justify;\">The regime, meanwhile, has been organizing its own street.<\/p>\n<blockquote class=\"twitter-tweet\" data-width=\"550\" data-dnt=\"true\">\n<p lang=\"en\" dir=\"ltr\">Why is Iran\u2019s regime obstructing an MOU many see as already favoring Tehran? Because converting the framework into a binding deal would force meaningful concessions on its <a href=\"https:\/\/x.com\/hashtag\/nuclear?src=hash&amp;ref_src=twsrc%5Etfw\">#nuclear<\/a> program and regional proxies\u2014moves it views as existential threats to its survival. In an\u2026<\/p>\n<p>&mdash; NCRI-FAC (@iran_policy) <a href=\"https:\/\/x.com\/iran_policy\/status\/2076918113900105808?ref_src=twsrc%5Etfw\">July 14, 2026<\/a><\/p><\/blockquote>\n<p><script async src=\"https:\/\/platform.x.com\/widgets.js\" charset=\"utf-8\"><\/script><\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: justify;\">Tasnim last week celebrated 200 consecutive nights of pro-regime gatherings. The language was striking. <a href=\"https:\/\/www.tasnimnews.ir\/fa\/news\/1405\/06\/25\/3697908\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">One commentary called them<\/a> a 200-night \u201cstreet exercise\u201d and compared their importance with fighting on the front lines. Another described the gatherings as an antidote to the enemy\u2019s plans. Far from treating loyalist demonstrations merely as expressions of popular support, regime media portray them as an instrument of political warfare.<\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: justify;\">That tells us something important about the regime\u2019s insecurity. A government certain of society does not ordinarily need to rehearse control of the street for 200 consecutive nights.<\/p>\n<h2 style=\"text-align: justify;\">Why Retreat May Look More Dangerous Than War<\/h2>\n<p style=\"text-align: justify;\">The Iranian regime has a shrinking base of supporters. It still has armed forces, intelligence networks, foreign relationships and institutions capable of imposing enormous violence.<\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: justify;\">But its behavior suggests that its leadership understands how narrow its real margin of safety has become.<\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: justify;\">Put the pieces together: a shrinking economy, nationwide unrest, mounting executions, attacks on security forces and a loyalist base mobilized night after night. But <a href=\"https:\/\/defenseopinion.com\/irans-popular-uprising-is-organized-and-the-regime-knows-it\/1124\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">Tehran\u2019s deepest fear<\/a> is another uprising converging with an organized resistance and expanding network of Resistance Units\u2014turning social anger into sustained, coordinated confrontation.<\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: justify;\">Now place yourself, just analytically, inside such a governing system.<\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: justify;\">A concession extracted by Washington would not merely change the terms of a nuclear, military or sanctions negotiation. It could communicate something much more dangerous inside Iran: the regime can be forced backward.<\/p>\n<blockquote class=\"twitter-tweet\" data-width=\"550\" data-dnt=\"true\">\n<p lang=\"en\" dir=\"ltr\">When Mojtaba Khamenei forbids the &quot;<a href=\"https:\/\/x.com\/hashtag\/IranWar%E2%80%8C?src=hash&amp;ref_src=twsrc%5Etfw\">#IranWar\u200c<\/a> or negotiation\u201d binary, both camps defy him within days. The new Leader\u2019s word is no longer final. The pillar that once capped factional war is fracturing. <br \/>Analysis by <a href=\"https:\/\/x.com\/MehdiOghbai?ref_src=twsrc%5Etfw\">@MehdiOghbai<\/a><a href=\"https:\/\/t.co\/l4x1BQDA5V\">https:\/\/t.co\/l4x1BQDA5V<\/a><\/p>\n<p>&mdash; NCRI-FAC (@iran_policy) <a href=\"https:\/\/x.com\/iran_policy\/status\/2094849633046401235?ref_src=twsrc%5Etfw\">September 1, 2026<\/a><\/p><\/blockquote>\n<p><script async src=\"https:\/\/platform.x.com\/widgets.js\" charset=\"utf-8\"><\/script><\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: justify;\">That message would be heard not only by protesters. It would be heard by IRGC forces deciding whether to fire, Basij members deciding whether to report for duty, bureaucrats deciding whether the system will survive, regional clients calculating their own futures, and opponents wondering whether the moment had arrived to push harder.<\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: justify;\">This is why the cornered-cat analogy matters.<\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: justify;\">The regime may continue accepting staggering economic losses and military punishment not because it is impervious to pain, but because its rulers understand that lowering their guard could be more dangerous than permanent confrontation.<\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: justify;\">For years, <a href=\"https:\/\/fararu.com\/fa\/news\/219408\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">Ali Khamenei warned<\/a> his followers what retreat meant: \u201cThe more you retreat, the more they advance.\u201d In his telling, vulnerability, once exposed, \u201cwill never end.\u201d<\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: justify;\">This was not a doctrine of resilience but one of desperation.<\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: justify;\">Khamenei followed it to the end. On February 28, 2026, he was killed in the opening U.S.-Israeli strikes, after Tehran had again refused Washington\u2019s central demands.<\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: justify;\">That logic survives him. The regime accepts enormous losses because it believes retreat could threaten its survival.<\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: justify;\">Its last insurance policy is not oil, money or allies.<\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: justify;\"><strong>It is the gun in the hands of a loyal security force.<\/strong><\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: justify;\">As long as the clerical regime believes those guns can keep an angry society down, foreign pressure may not produce surrender. It may make a cornered regime cling harder to the weapon it trusts most.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Four-minute read The Iranian regime&rsquo;s president Masoud Pezeshkian arrived at the United Nations this week with a message of defiance. He accused Washington of a &ldquo;bullying mentality&rdquo; and said Iran would not surrender under American pressure, even as his government signaled that negotiations could continue. It sounded like confidence. It may be closer to desperation. [&hellip;]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":8,"featured_media":348305,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[13,9,10],"tags":[130,222,269],"class_list":["post-348304","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","category-iran-resistance","category-iran-protests","category-economy","tag-iran-protests","tag-iranian-resistance","tag-iran-economy"],"yoast_head":"<!-- This site is optimized with the Yoast SEO plugin v28.4 - https:\/\/yoast.com\/product\/yoast-seo-wordpress\/ -->\n<title>Interpreting Pezeshkian\u2019s Defiance at the UN General Assembly - NCRI<\/title>\n<meta name=\"description\" content=\"Four-minute read The Iranian regime\u2019s president Masoud Pezeshkian arrived at the United Nations this week with a message of defiance. 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