{"id":348477,"date":"2026-10-01T21:22:54","date_gmt":"2026-10-01T20:22:54","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.ncr-iran.org\/en\/?p=348477"},"modified":"2026-10-01T21:22:54","modified_gmt":"2026-10-01T20:22:54","slug":"inside-tehrans-threat-assessment-why-organization-at-home-alarms-the-regime","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.ncr-iran.org\/en\/news\/iran-resistance\/inside-tehrans-threat-assessment-why-organization-at-home-alarms-the-regime\/","title":{"rendered":"Inside Tehran\u2019s Threat Assessment: Why Organization at Home Alarms the Regime"},"content":{"rendered":"
\"MEK
MEK Resistance Units motorcade parade through the streets of Karaj, September 3, 2026, marking 61 years since the founding of the organization<\/figcaption><\/figure>\n

Four-minute read<\/em><\/strong><\/p>\n

For anyone trying to identify the vulnerabilities of Iran\u2019s clerical regime, its own security vocabulary is unusually instructive. Officials routinely blame foreign powers for Iran\u2019s crises, but when they describe how unrest might become genuinely dangerous, the same words keep surfacing: network, organization, recruitment, neighborhoods, universities. Increasingly, those warnings intersect with another recurring name\u2014the People\u2019s Mojahedin Organization of Iran<\/a> (PMOI\/MEK).<\/p>\n

Ali Aghamohammadi, a member of the Expediency Council, offered one of the clearest examples on September 29, 2026. Speaking about alleged hostile operatives inside Iran, he warned that people trained abroad had entered the country and established themselves in neighborhoods. Then came the revealing sentence: \u201cThis network is a large network. If this network is dismantled, all their hope will disappear.\u201d He urged citizens to report suspicious activity and said the alleged networks were planning with the January uprising in mind. However, what is unmistakable is where he located the danger\u2014not simply in public anger, but in its organization.<\/p>\n

An unpopular government can survive discontent for years when it remains fragmented. Demonstrations can be dispersed<\/a>; strikes can remain local; anger can dissipate. The danger changes when grievances acquire connective tissue\u2014people who recruit, communicate, preserve experience between protest waves and turn spontaneous eruptions into sustained political action. Tehran\u2019s own commentary repeatedly shows that this is the scenario occupying its security establishment.<\/p>\n

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When external diversions faded, Iran saw a marked rise in both grassroots demonstrations and the operational frequency of #MEKResistanceUnits<\/a>. This dual escalation signals a clear transition in local agency, as the population bypasses past stalemates to assert a homegrown vision\u2026<\/p>\n

— NCRI-FAC (@iran_policy) July 12, 2026<\/a><\/p><\/blockquote>\n