{"id":348615,"date":"2026-10-07T21:39:44","date_gmt":"2026-10-07T20:39:44","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.ncr-iran.org\/en\/?p=348615"},"modified":"2026-10-07T21:39:44","modified_gmt":"2026-10-07T20:39:44","slug":"irans-leadership-ties-economic-strain-to-internal-security-as-controls-tighten","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.ncr-iran.org\/en\/news\/economy\/irans-leadership-ties-economic-strain-to-internal-security-as-controls-tighten\/","title":{"rendered":"Iran\u2019s Leadership Ties Economic Strain to Internal Security as Controls Tighten"},"content":{"rendered":"<figure id=\"attachment_347105\" aria-describedby=\"caption-attachment-347105\" style=\"width: 1000px\" class=\"wp-caption alignnone\"><img decoding=\"async\" class=\"size-full wp-image-347105\" src=\"https:\/\/www.ncr-iran.org\/en\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/08\/iran-tehran-vali-asr-street.jpg\" alt=\"Aerial view of the busy Vali Asr Street roundabout in central Tehran, Iran\" width=\"1000\" height=\"562\" srcset=\"https:\/\/www.ncr-iran.org\/en\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/08\/iran-tehran-vali-asr-street.jpg 1000w, https:\/\/www.ncr-iran.org\/en\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/08\/iran-tehran-vali-asr-street-300x169.jpg 300w, https:\/\/www.ncr-iran.org\/en\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/08\/iran-tehran-vali-asr-street-768x432.jpg 768w, https:\/\/www.ncr-iran.org\/en\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/08\/iran-tehran-vali-asr-street-747x420.jpg 747w, https:\/\/www.ncr-iran.org\/en\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/08\/iran-tehran-vali-asr-street-150x84.jpg 150w, https:\/\/www.ncr-iran.org\/en\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/08\/iran-tehran-vali-asr-street-696x391.jpg 696w\" sizes=\"(max-width: 1000px) 100vw, 1000px\" \/><figcaption id=\"caption-attachment-347105\" class=\"wp-caption-text\">Aerial view of the busy Vali Asr Street roundabout in central Tehran, Iran<\/figcaption><\/figure>\n<p style=\"text-align: justify;\"><strong><em>Three-minute read<\/em><\/strong><\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: justify;\">Iran\u2019s ruling establishment is increasingly treating economic deterioration and social dissent as parts of the same security problem. On October 7, 2026, parliament speaker Mohammad-Bagher Ghalibaf told the SSF command that, after failing in war, the \u201cenemy\u201d was now seeking \u201cinsecurity inside the country.\u201d <a href=\"https:\/\/www.irna.ir\/news\/86286028\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">IRNA reported<\/a> that he paired the warning with a pledge that the three branches of government would make \u201cserious and immediate\u201d efforts to meet the police force\u2019s infrastructural, economic and livelihood needs. The combination is revealing: economic resilience and coercive capacity are being discussed together at the top of the system.<\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: justify;\">The rhetoric extends beyond foreign threats. Amir-Hossein Ghazizadeh-Hashemi, a former vice president under Ebrahim Raisi, <a href=\"https:\/\/nobonyadonline.ir\/news\/4056\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">described the January<\/a> 2026 uprising as an attempted \u201cinternal coup\u201d in which domestic actors supposedly sought to \u201clock the economy and people\u2019s livelihoods\u201d and prevent oil-sale revenues from returning to Iran.<\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: justify;\">That follows SSF Chief Ahmad-Reza Radan\u2019s warning earlier this week that the bazaar itself is a front in an \u201ceconomic war,\u201d with merchants cast as economic \u201cofficers.\u201d \u201cThe time is a time of war,\u201d he told merchants, urging them to work with police against hoarding and warning them not to \u201cplay the enemy\u2019s game.\u201d Together, the statements show the regime increasingly securitizing inflation, shortages and market instability as potential triggers or instruments of renewed unrest.<\/p>\n<blockquote class=\"twitter-tweet\" data-width=\"550\" data-dnt=\"true\">\n<p lang=\"en\" dir=\"ltr\">Iran\u2019s dollar hit 268,500 tomans despite fresh Central Bank intervention.<\/p>\n<p>A senior MP says people are dying because <a href=\"https:\/\/x.com\/hashtag\/medicine?src=hash&amp;ref_src=twsrc%5Etfw\">#medicine<\/a> and treatment are unaffordable, alleges insurers are effectively bankrupt, and says $100 billion in trustee funds has not returned.<\/p>\n<p>Meanwhile, gas\u2026<\/p>\n<p>&mdash; NCRI-FAC (@iran_policy) <a href=\"https:\/\/x.com\/iran_policy\/status\/2106494121527632024?ref_src=twsrc%5Etfw\">October 3, 2026<\/a><\/p><\/blockquote>\n<p><script async src=\"https:\/\/platform.x.com\/widgets.js\" charset=\"utf-8\"><\/script><\/p>\n<h2 style=\"text-align: justify;\">Bread, wages and the dollar<\/h2>\n<p style=\"text-align: justify;\">The economic pressure is visible in parliament\u2019s own language. MP Beitollah <a href=\"https:\/\/www.icana.ir\/news\/425484\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">Abdollahi told<\/a> the chamber on October 4 that each rise in the dollar feeds inflation because so many goods and services are linked to the exchange rate. He said government employees, teachers, retirees and other groups were struggling to meet \u201cminimum necessities of life\u201d and demanded that salaries and pensions be adjusted for inflation.<\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: justify;\">The security response is also becoming more explicit. Parliament on October 6 approved Article 22 of its \u201ccountering foreign infiltration\u201d bill, prohibiting Iranian citizens from interviews or participation in discussions with media designated \u201chostile\u201d by the Intelligence Ministry or linked to specified foreign governments. Violations can bring degree-six penalties, while officials are exempt. The <a href=\"https:\/\/www.icana.ir\/news\/425620\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">Majles&#8217; website reported<\/a> that the provision passed by 174 votes to six, with two abstentions.<\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: justify;\">At Sharif University of Technology, university president Masoud Tajrishi gave an unusually clear description of how disciplinary leniency is being conditioned on political submission. <a href=\"https:\/\/www.mehrnews.com\/news\/6970218\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">Mehr reported<\/a> on October 7 that fewer than 40 of more than 200 referred cases had resulted in final disciplinary rulings, while five or six students remained expelled. Tajrishi said students who \u201cexpressed remorse\u201d received support, while some expulsions remained because students \u201cinsisted on their previous positions\u201d and did not repent. The logic echoes a coercive practice long documented in Iran\u2019s prisons: leniency conditioned on political recantation, with refusal in some historical cases <a href=\"https:\/\/www.ncr-iran.org\/en\/iran-1988-massacre-of-political-prisoners\/steadfast-the-word-that-decided-life-and-death-in-irans-1988-massacre\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">preceding execution.<\/a><\/p>\n<blockquote class=\"twitter-tweet\" data-width=\"550\" data-dnt=\"true\">\n<p lang=\"en\" dir=\"ltr\">The Iranian regime\u2019s judiciary chief is warning officials not to \u201canger the people,\u201d treating <a href=\"https:\/\/x.com\/hashtag\/economic?src=hash&amp;ref_src=twsrc%5Etfw\">#economic<\/a> collapse as a security threat.<br \/>Inflation on some goods has hit 150\u2013160%. The free-market dollar is near 270,000 tomans. Meanwhile the regime is tightening controls on\u2026<\/p>\n<p>&mdash; NCRI-FAC (@iran_policy) <a href=\"https:\/\/x.com\/iran_policy\/status\/2107559445613945279?ref_src=twsrc%5Etfw\">October 6, 2026<\/a><\/p><\/blockquote>\n<p><script async src=\"https:\/\/platform.x.com\/widgets.js\" charset=\"utf-8\"><\/script><\/p>\n<h2 style=\"text-align: justify;\">Factional pressure<\/h2>\n<p style=\"text-align: justify;\">For now, the attempt to impeach Foreign Minister Abbas Araghchi remains a factional pressure signal rather than an imminent government crisis. <a href=\"https:\/\/www.tasnimnews.ir\/fa\/news\/1405\/07\/14\/3716033\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">Tasnim reported\u00a0<\/a>that the impeachment request had been registered but had not reached parliament\u2019s presidium and apparently originated with one MP. Its sponsors accuse Araghchi of crossing regime \u201cred lines,\u201d weak economic diplomacy and persisting with negotiations with Washington.<\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: justify;\">More significant is how Ghalibaf is containing the confrontation. <em>Nobonyad<\/em> noted that as many as nine ministers had previously faced impeachment moves, yet none reached a vote; it reported that the Parliament Speaker resisted advancing them after Khamenei publicly backed the government.<\/p>\n<blockquote class=\"twitter-tweet\" data-width=\"550\" data-dnt=\"true\">\n<p lang=\"en\" dir=\"ltr\">Two police officers were killed in another armed attack in Sistan and Baluchestan.<\/p>\n<p>Meanwhile, the dollar remains near 270,000 tomans\u2014and authorities now threaten websites that publish what they call \u201cfalse\u201d exchange rates.<\/p>\n<p>On <a href=\"https:\/\/x.com\/hashtag\/WorldTeacherAppreciationDay?src=hash&amp;ref_src=twsrc%5Etfw\">#WorldTeacherAppreciationDay<\/a>, 47 Iranian teachers\u2026<\/p>\n<p>&mdash; NCRI-FAC (@iran_policy) <a href=\"https:\/\/x.com\/iran_policy\/status\/2107204251344675310?ref_src=twsrc%5Etfw\">October 5, 2026<\/a><\/p><\/blockquote>\n<p><script async src=\"https:\/\/platform.x.com\/widgets.js\" charset=\"utf-8\"><\/script><\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: justify;\">That tension is increasingly centered on economic management. Economist Morteza Afqah said he had personally warned Abdolnasser Hemmati against the government\u2019s exchange-rate policy when Hemmati was economy minister and argued that, after <a href=\"https:\/\/www.ncr-iran.org\/en\/iranian-regime-infighting\/khameneis-removal-of-zarif-and-hemmati-marks-a-new-phase-in-iran\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">Hemmati\u2019s removal<\/a> and later return to economic policymaking, \u201cthe same wrong policy\u201d was pursued with the results now visible.<\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: justify;\">The political implication is that the regime is trying to project cohesion because it can ill afford to display how deep its internal disputes have become. Cabinet removals are being contained from above even as MPs, security officials and former officeholders blame economic failure on incompetence, infiltration or political deviation. That may suppress visible rupture in the short term, but it also suggests a system with little tolerance for open disagreement: policy failures are increasingly recast as questions of loyalty and security, making meaningful correction harder without exposing the fractures the leadership is trying to conceal.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Three-minute read Iran&rsquo;s ruling establishment is increasingly treating economic deterioration and social dissent as parts of the same security problem. On October 7, 2026, parliament speaker Mohammad-Bagher Ghalibaf told the SSF command that, after failing in war, the &ldquo;enemy&rdquo; was now seeking &ldquo;insecurity inside the country.&rdquo; IRNA reported that he paired the warning with a [&hellip;]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":22,"featured_media":347105,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[10,5450],"tags":[269,5482],"class_list":["post-348615","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","category-economy","category-iranian-regime-infighting","tag-iran-economy","tag-iranian-regime-infighting"],"yoast_head":"<!-- This site is optimized with the Yoast SEO plugin v28.6 - https:\/\/yoast.com\/product\/yoast-seo-wordpress\/ -->\n<title>Iran\u2019s Leadership Ties Economic Strain to Internal Security as Controls Tighten - NCRI<\/title>\n<meta name=\"description\" content=\"Three-minute read Iran\u2019s ruling establishment is increasingly treating economic deterioration and social dissent as parts of the same security problem. 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