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Iran’s Nuclear Threat: The Next Phase

Iran's Nuclear Threat: The Next PhaseNCRI – The following is a commentary by the US Alliance for Democratic Iran (USADI) on a decision to refer Iranian regime’s nuclear file to the UN Security Council:

At last. It is official; Iran’s nuclear dossier has been referred to the UN Security Council for further action. That’s good news and a strategic step forward, albeit long over-due. Tehran’s ‘Russian nuclear dance’ early this week did little to decisive anyone. It grabbed lots of headlines but at the end it was just another episode of the now-familiar eleventh-hour ploy by the clerical regime to sow division and buy time.

Given the details of Iran’s case, however, the referral should have happened in the Fall of 2003, right after the report of the International Atomic Energy Agency (IAEA) chronicled the 18-years of Iran’s lies and deception to cover its secret nuclear weapons program. The 30-months delay gave Iran a golden opportunity to further advance its nuclear program.

Tehran’s former top nuclear negotiator, Hassan Rowhani, recently boasted about his success in prolonging the negotiations, taking advantage of the diplomatic fig leaf the EU-3 talks provided it.

According to the Sunday Telegraph, Rowhani told a closed meeting that "From the outset, the Americans kept telling the Europeans, ‘The Iranians are lying and deceiving you and they have not told you everything.’ The Europeans used to respond, ‘We trust them'”.

Rowhani told his audience at the mullahs’ Supreme Council of Cultural Revolution that "When we were negotiating with the Europeans in Teheran we were still installing some of the equipment at the Isfahan site. There was plenty of work to be done to complete the site and finish the work there. In reality, by creating a tame situation, we could finish Isfahan."

There is talk of an “incremental” diplomatic process in the UN Security Council. And here is an area the United States must continue to show firmness and leadership to move the ball rolling as fast as possible. Given the futility of negotiations to stop Iran’s nuclear program and in light of Rowhani’s admission, a pro-longed diplomatic process provides Tehran with valuable time. Having a nuclear weapon is a pillar of the clerical regime’s nuclear strategy, and they will not give it up.

Washington’s newly-found vigor and sense of leadership in organizing a concerted international campaign against Tehran is indeed welcome. It should continue to broaden its circle of partners beyond the Security Council Russia, China, and others begin dragging their feet to do what is needed to stop Iran’s nuclear drive. These efforts at coalition building must be aimed at diplomatic and economic isolation of Tehran regime as a part of an overall and comprehensive policy of regime change by Iranians’ own resistance movement.

We have to keep reminding ourselves that Iran is ruled by a theocratic tyranny bent on ensuring its continuity and survival by domestic suppression, terrorism, and development of WMD. Intrinsically and structurally, this regime has zero capacity to change from within and therefore must be replaced. This, not the naïve hope for a “behavioral change” of Iran, is the most crucial reality which should govern our Iran policy.